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Central Catholic (Modesto, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Raiders
Colors: Navy/Vegas Gold
Coach: Roger Canepa
League: Valley Oak
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #5

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Manasse Itete 6'3.5" 285 Senior IOL
Brooklyn Cheek 6'2" 180 Senior S

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 41.4
2023 National Rank: #491
2023 State Rank: #50
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.6
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: +9.6
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -7.1
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -7.9
2024 Starting Power Rating: 26.5
2024 National Rank: #647
2024 State Rank: #62
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 33.9
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #662
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 12.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 39-18 (21-1 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 40.5
Dynasty National Rank: #342
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 19.1
Dynasty Record: 225-47-1 (107-8 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 9-3
2023 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 37.3
2023 Points Against Average: 21.4
2023 Differential: +15.9
2023 Wins: #816 Manteca (39-35), #892 Bishop Manogue (Reno, NV) (16-7), #1540 Edison (Stockton) (34-20), #2032 Oakdale (64-39), #2074 Pleasant Valley (Chico) (49-7), #3113 Merced (42-12), #4369 Kimball [John C.] (Tracy) (40-12), #6731 Sierra (Manteca) (63-7), #6838 East Union (Manteca) (47-7)
2023 Losses: #32 Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo) (38-7), #197 Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) (31-14), #203 St. Mary's (Stockton) (42-33)
2023 Opponents W-L: 99-47
Recent Section/State Championships: 2021 (II), 2015 (III), 2015 (Bowl Open Under 1250), 2014 (IV), 2014 (Bowl IV), 2013 (IV), 2013 (Bowl IV), 2012 (IV), 2012 (Bowl IV), 2007 (V), 2006 (V), 2005 (V), 2004 (V), 2003 (V)
Recent League Championships: 2023, 2022, 2021, 2019 (tied for 1st), 2018, 2016 (tied for 1st), 2015, 2013 (Western), 2012 (Western), 2009 (Western), 2008 (Western), 2007 (Western Athletic), 2006 (Western Athletic), 2004 (Southern), 2003 (Southern- North)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at Pleasant Valley (Chico), 8/30 St. Mary's (Stockton), 9/6 at Central Catholic (Portland, OR), 9/13 Bishop Manogue (Reno, NV), 9/20 at Patterson, 9/27 at Manteca, 10/11 East Union (Manteca), 10/18 Oakdale, 10/25 at Mountain House, 11/1 Sierra (Manteca)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Central Catholic (Portland, OR) (42.9), St. Mary's (Stockton) (39.3), Manteca (26.8)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Sierra (Manteca) (-28.3), Mountain House (-22.5), East Union (Manteca) (-18.2)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.3 (28.4 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.7
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16.6
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #104
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #960
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2024 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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