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Grace (Simi Valley, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Black
Coach: Tom Coate
League: Citrus Coast (moving from Freelance)
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: none

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 10
Returning Defensive Starters: 10
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Ethan LaSecla 5'11" 170 Senior QB 4.64
Kale Knighton 6'4" 200 Senior DE/OL
Alex Van 5'8" 160 Senior WR/DB 4.64

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Senior Experience
Team Weaknesses: Depth

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -31.5
2023 National Rank: #11307
2023 State Rank: #787
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +10.5
2024 Starting Power Rating: -40.7
2024 National Rank: #9760
2024 State Rank: #676
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 10.3
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #3523
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 48.9
5-Year Dynasty Record: 18-6 (4-0 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 15.7
Dynasty National Rank: #3771
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 54.3
Dynasty Record: 150-70 (47-22 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 6-4
2023 League Record/Finish:  
2023 Points For Average: 41.4
2023 Points Against Average: 29.9
2023 Differential: +11.5
2023 Wins: #11909 Santa Rosa Academy (Menifee) (36-34), #12003 Carpinteria (36-30), #13236 Glendale (50-13), #13738 Verbum Dei (Los Angeles) (41-0), #13799 Rancho Dominguez (Long Beach) (48-0), #13968 Desert Chapel (Palm Springs) (63-12)
2023 Losses: #3883 Diamond Ranch (Pomona) (56-13), #6062 Crespi (Encino) (55-49), #8473 Arrowhead Christian (Redlands) (34-28), #11062 Miller [A. B.] (Fontana) (65-50)
2023 Opponents W-L: 43-59
Recent Section/State Championships: 2018 (4), 2018 (Bowl 2-AA), 2017 (8), 2004 (XII)
Recent League Championships: 2019 (Camino), 2018 (Camino), 2017 (Tri-Valley), 2016 (Tri-Valley), 2015 (Frontier), 2014 (Frontier), 2010 (Frontier), 2005 (Olympic), 2004 (Alpha)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at Santa Rosa Academy (Menifee), 8/31 vs Arrowhead Christian (Redlands), 9/6 vs Amador (Sutter Creek), 9/13 at Ridgeview (Bakersfield), 9/20 at Oak Park, 10/4 at Glenn [John] (Norwalk), 10/10 vs Brentwood (Los Angeles), 10/18 at Nordhoff (Ojai), 10/25 vs Channel Islands (Oxnard), 11/1 at Carpinteria
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Brentwood (Los Angeles) (-7.6), Oak Park (-17), Ridgeview (Bakersfield) (-31.2)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Channel Islands (Oxnard) (-60.6), Carpinteria (-53.9), Glenn [John] (Norwalk) (-51.5)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -35.5 (-37.3 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -37.9
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.4
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #722
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10647
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%