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Lutheran (Orange, CA)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: Rod Sherman
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: none

D1 PROSPECTS
TJ Lateef 6'1.5" 185 Senior QB
Benjamin Alefaio 6'1" 190 Senior S
AJ Ia 6'5" 240 Senior TE

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 62.5
2023 National Rank: #43
2023 State Rank: #8
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: +8.3
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus*: +5.2
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: +7.2
2024 Starting Power Rating*: 70.4
2024 National Rank*: #14
2024 State Rank*: #6
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 56.4
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #61
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: better by 14
5-Year Dynasty Record: 28-25 [27-26 on the field] (7-17 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 55.4
Dynasty National Rank: #49
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: better by 15
Dynasty Record: 152-87 [151-88 on the field] (48-55 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 5-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (tied for 3rd)
2023 Points For Average: 24.5
2023 Points Against Average: 31.6
2023 Differential: -7.1
2023 Wins: #47 Servite (Anaheim) (36-33), #52 Serra [Junipero] (Gardena) (47-19), #65 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (28-21), #68 De La Salle (Concord) (35-14), #1058 Eastside Catholic (Sammamish, WA) (20-0)
2023 Losses: #1 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (55-13), #3 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (44-22), #6 Centennial (Corona) (63-39), #10 Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth) (40-6), #35 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (24-14), #117 Chandler (AZ) (35-10)
2023 Opponents W-L: 99-38
Recent Section/State Championships: 2021 (2), 2006 (Pac-5 (I)), 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at Serra [Junipero] (Gardena), 8/30 at Rancho Cucamonga, 9/6 St. Frances Academy (Baltimore, MD), 9/13 at Bishop Gorman (Las Vegas, NV), 9/21 at Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth), 10/4 at St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/11 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 10/18 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 10/25 vs Servite (Anaheim), 11/1 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (120.9), Bishop Gorman (Las Vegas, NV) (103.4), St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (89.7)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Rancho Cucamonga (49), Serra [Junipero] (Gardena) (51.1), St. Frances Academy (Baltimore, MD) (51.5)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 64.5 (67.8 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: 74.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: +9.9
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #2
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #2
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 5-5
2024 Projected League Finish*: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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