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St. Mary's (Stockton, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Rams
Colors: Green/White
Coach: Tony Franks
League: Tri-City
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: II
Playoff Division Rank: #2

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
2023 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Kenneth Moore III 5'10" 165 Junior WR/ATH
Manaalii Danielson 6'2" 250 Senior DL/OL
Ahmyri McGee-Hall 5'11" 170 Senior CB/ATH

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Ryan Gaea 6'4" 220 Senior Edge

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: WR Experience, DL Experience/Depth, OL Size
Team Weaknesses: Youth, Inexperience

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 50.9
2023 National Rank: #203
2023 State Rank: #30
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -10.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.6
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +3.1
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: +8.8
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -8.3
2024 Starting Power Rating: 39.4
2024 National Rank: #270
2024 State Rank: #28
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 39.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #381
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 40-12 (21-0 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 44.6
Dynasty National Rank: #205
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 13.6
Dynasty Record: 201-59 [200-60 on the field] (103-5 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 11-2
2023 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 40.2
2023 Points Against Average: 15.5
2023 Differential: +24.7
2023 Wins: #491 Central Catholic (Modesto) (42-33), #512 Bishop Amat (La Puente) (41-31), #736 Clovis West (Fresno) (38-28), #816 Manteca (44-7), #816 Manteca (41-12), #1881 Tracy (42-14), #2062 Vacaville (38-0), #3384 Lincoln (Stockton) (54-28), #4095 Tokay (Lodi) (56-0), #5806 Lodi (55-0), #9111 West [Merrill F.] (Tracy) (55-7)
2023 Losses: #68 De La Salle (Concord) (24-10), #147 Rocklin (17-6)
2023 Opponents W-L: 87-64
Recent Section Championships: 2016 (I), 2008 (I), 2004 (I)
Recent League Championships: 2023, 2022, 2021, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2004 (San Joaquin)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/24 at Bishop Manogue (Reno, NV), 8/30 at Central Catholic (Modesto), 9/7 at Marin Catholic (Kentfield), 9/20 De La Salle (Concord), 9/27 Bishop Amat (La Puente), 10/4 Lodi, 10/11 at Kimball [John C.] (Tracy), 10/18 Edison (Stockton), 10/25 at Tracy, 11/1 Lincoln (Stockton)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: De La Salle (Concord) (58.1), Bishop Amat (La Puente) (35.4), Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (32.2)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Lodi (-24.1), Kimball [John C.] (Tracy) (-18), Tracy (-6.7)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.6 (29 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.5
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #77
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #601
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%