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Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Padres
Colors: Royal Blue/Gold
Coach: Patrick Walsh
League: West Catholic
Section: Central Coast
Playoff Division: none

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Cole Harrison 6'5.5" 220 Senior TE
Danny Niu 6'0.5" 215 Senior WR
Joseph Bey 6'1" 195 Senior S
Jabari Mann 6'0" 210 Senior LB
John Holthaus 6'7" 280 Senior OT

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 66.4
2023 National Rank: #32
2023 State Rank: #6
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5
Historical Reload/Regression Factor: +8.4
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -8.5
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -3.9
2024 Starting Power Rating: 52.7
2024 National Rank: #79
2024 State Rank: #19
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 58.9
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #43
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 13
5-Year Dynasty Record: 54-6 (31-2 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 50.1
Dynasty National Rank: #97
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.2
Dynasty Record: 183-69-1 (106-33-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 12-1
2023 League Record/Finish: 7-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 39.9
2023 Points Against Average: 11.8
2023 Differential: +28.1
2023 Wins: #50 Folsom (21-14), #68 De La Salle (Concord) (28-0), #491 Central Catholic (Modesto) (38-7), #834 Riordan (San Francisco) (53-7), #911 St. Ignatius (San Francisco) (43-10), #999 St. Francis (Mountain View) (45-17), #1179 Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara) (63-27), #1307 Valley Christian (San Jose) (24-13), #1458 Salinas (47-7), #3030 Mitty (San Jose) (42-0), #3429 Bellarmine (San Jose) (54-16), #4600 Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco) (61-0)
2023 Losses: #1 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (35-0)
2023 Opponents W-L: 95-60
Recent Section/State Championships: 2023 (Open), 2022 (I), 2021 (I), 2019 (I), 2017 (Open II), 2017 (Bowl 2-AA), 2016 (Open II), 2013 (Open), 2011 (I)
Recent League Championships: 2023, 2022, 2020, 2019 (tied for 1st), 2017, 2016 (tied for 1st), 2014 (tied for 1st), 2013 (tied for 1st), 2008 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Folsom, 9/6 at De La Salle (Concord), 9/14 St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 9/27 at St. Ignatius (San Francisco), 10/5 Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco), 10/11 at St. Francis (Mountain View), 10/19 Mitty (San Jose), 10/25 vs Bellarmine (San Jose), 11/2 at Riordan (San Francisco), 11/8 Valley Christian (San Jose)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (81.6), Folsom (66.4), De La Salle (Concord) (58.1)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Bellarmine (San Jose) (-9.9), Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco) (-8.8), Mitty (San Jose) (3.7)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 36.7 (39.9 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 30.8
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.9
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #26
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #104
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2024 Projected League Finish: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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