Vanguard (Ocala, FL)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Knights
Colors: Red/Blue/White
Coach: Edwin Farmer
League: 4A District 5 (moving from 3S District 5)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank*: #12

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Fred Gaskin III 5'10" 185 Senior S
Dallen Ponder 5'9" 150 Senior WR
Teriyan Morman 6'5" 350 Senior OT
Cameron Powell 5'11" 185 Senior S
Jamil Watkins 6'1" 165 Senior CB

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 45.3
2023 National Rank: #341
2023 State Rank: #31
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: -3.7
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: -6.2
2024 Starting Power Rating*: 22.1
2024 National Rank*: #870
2024 State Rank*: #76
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 35.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #559
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 13.6
5-Year Dynasty Record: 48-13 (16-2 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 28.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1347
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 6.6
Dynasty Record: 144-93 (57-27 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 11-3
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 35.3
2023 Points Against Average: 16
2023 Differential: +19.3
2023 Wins: #359 Erie (CO) (26-20), #600 Lake Wales (52-15), #779 Lake Minneola (Minneola) (35-21), #876 Dunnellon (28-21), #1199 Leesburg (42-29), #1619 Zephyrhills (34-14), #3033 Forest (Ocala) (42-0), #5079 River Ridge (New Port Richey) (36-0), #5858 Tavares (63-0), #7423 North Marion (Citra) (47-0), #10104 Belleview (47-0)
2023 Losses: #91 Mainland (Daytona Beach) (34-12), #104 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (30-10), #325 South Sumter (Bushnell) (40-20)
2023 Opponents W-L: 113-55
Recent League Championships: 2023 (3S District 5), 2022 (3S District 5), 2021 (6A District 5), 2018 (6A District 5), 2017 (6A District 5), 2016 (6A District 5), 2015 (6A District 5), 2011 (6A District 5)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/16 Central (Miami), 8/23 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville), 8/30 Lake Minneola (Minneola), 9/6 Newberry, 9/13 Leesburg, 9/20 Dunnellon, 9/27 Lecanto, 10/4 North Marion (Citra), 10/18 South Sumter (Bushnell), 10/25 Gainesville, 11/1 at Forest (Ocala)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Central (Miami) (67), South Sumter (Bushnell) (45.5), Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (37.7)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Gainesville (-25.8), North Marion (Citra) (-20.3), Forest (Ocala) (-4.8)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.1 (26.7 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: 17.9
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -3.2
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #42
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #257
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 6-5
2024 Projected League Finish*: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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