Southern Nash (Bailey, NC)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Firebirds
Colors: Red/Blue
League: 2A/3A Big East
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank*: #22

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 19.4
2023 National Rank: #2346
2023 State Rank: #50
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: -6
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment*: -0.3
2024 Starting Power Rating*: -1.8
2024 National Rank*: #3479
2024 State Rank*: #74
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 18.2
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #2251
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 20
5-Year Dynasty Record: 44-13 (22-6 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 20.7
Dynasty National Rank: #2570
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 22.5
Dynasty Record: 166-83 (71-40 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 10-2
2023 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 38.1
2023 Points Against Average: 10.8
2023 Differential: +27.3
2023 Wins: #1371 Northern Nash (Rocky Mount) (28-21), #3350 Nash Central (Rocky Mount) (22-8), #4363 Fike [Ralph L.] (Wilson) (42-14), #7181 Rocky Mount (20-0), #8834 South Granville (Creedmoor) (42-0), #9094 East Wake (Wendell) (39-0), #9539 Franklinton (45-0), #9591 Croatan (Newport) (49-15), #11308 Roanoke Rapids (55-8), #11912 Bunn (68-7)
2023 Losses: #1371 Northern Nash (Rocky Mount) (35-32), #1763 Southern Alamance (Graham) (22-15)
2023 Opponents W-L: 79-65
Recent League Championships: 2023, 2019 (3A Big East), 2018 (3A Big East), 2017 (3A Big East), 2016 (3A Big East), 2014 (tied for 1st; 3A Big East)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 at East Wake (Wendell), 8/29 South Granville (Creedmoor), 9/6 Fike [Ralph L.] (Wilson), 9/13 at Southern Alamance (Graham), 9/20 Nash Central (Rocky Mount), 9/27 Roanoke Rapids, 10/11 at Bunn, 10/18 Rocky Mount, 10/25 at Northern Nash (Rocky Mount), 11/1 Franklinton
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Northern Nash (Rocky Mount) (7.5), Southern Alamance (Graham) (6.7), Nash Central (Rocky Mount) (-13.6)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Roanoke Rapids (-50.2), Bunn (-50.1), East Wake (Wendell) (-37.8)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5.7 (-2.9 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -24.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -18.7
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #192
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #4383
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 8-2
2024 Projected League Finish*: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: 4%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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