Ponderosa (Parker, CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Cardinal/Gold
Coach: Jaron Cohen
League: 4A South Metro (moving from 4A Southeast Metro)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank*: #6

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2023 JV Record: 5-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Max Mervin 6'0" 180 Senior WR/S 4.7
Ethan Pekarek 5'10" 180 Senior RB/LB 4.6
Caden Miller 6'0" 190 Junior LB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Position Depth, Defensive Speed
Team Weaknesses: Line Depth

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 11.3
2023 National Rank: #3534
2023 State Rank: #36
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: +2.5
2024 Starting Power Rating*: 2.6
2024 National Rank*: #2818
2024 State Rank*: #29
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 17.9
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #2288
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 15.3
5-Year Dynasty Record: 37-17 (18-4 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 23.3
Dynasty National Rank: #2123
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 20.7
Dynasty Record: 152-79 (89-33 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 7-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st)
2023 Points For Average: 33.1
2023 Points Against Average: 20.3
2023 Differential: +12.8
2023 Wins: #4376 Jefferson [Thomas] (Denver) (21-6), #4984 Denver South (Denver) (42-6), #7551 Fort Collins (56-21), #7572 Bear Creek (Lakewood) (45-0), #8081 Vista PEAK Prep (Aurora) (55-23), #8650 Chaparral (Parker) (42-14), #9022 Far Northeast Warriors (Denver) (49-7)
2023 Losses: #616 Palmer Ridge (Monument) (34-12), #1034 Legend (Parker) (49-7), #2995 Windsor (38-21), #3886 Golden (25-14)
2023 Opponents W-L: 70-57
Recent State Championships: 2003 (5A)
Recent League Championships: 2023 (4A Southeast Metro), 2020 (4A Western Slope), 2019 (4A Metro), 2018 (4A Metro), 2016 (4A Foothills), 2014 (tied for 1st; 4A Plains), 2012 (4A Pikes Peak), 2009 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (tied for 1st; 5A Continental National)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/29 Palmer Ridge (Monument), 9/6 at Rampart (Colorado Springs), 9/12 at Roosevelt (Johnstown), 9/20 at Falcon, 9/26 Chaparral (Parker), 10/4 Dakota Ridge (Littleton), 10/10 at Highlands Ranch, 10/18 at Golden, 10/25 at Bear Creek (Lakewood), 11/1 at Heritage (Littleton)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Palmer Ridge (Monument) (23.7), Heritage (Littleton) (9.3), Dakota Ridge (Littleton) (1.9)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Chaparral (Parker) (-37.1), Falcon (-26.3), Bear Creek (Lakewood) (-25.4)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.3 (4.6 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -9.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -11.7
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #35
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #2270
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 7-3
2024 Projected League Finish*: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%




*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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