Otay Ranch (Chula Vista, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Navy/Columbia/Gray
Coach: Brad Burton
League: Metro - Mesa
Section: San Diego
Playoff Division: 1-5
Playoff Division Rank: #44

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2023 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Diego Martinez 6'0" 245 Senior DL
David Smith 6'1" 195 Junior LB
Joey Brinkman 6'2" 210 Junior LB/TE

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Defensive Front 7, K/P
Team Weaknesses: Skill Position Inexperience

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -12
2023 National Rank: #8000
2023 State Rank: #544
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5
2024 Starting Power Rating: -26.1
2024 National Rank: #7189
2024 State Rank: #486
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 4.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #4631
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 28.7
5-Year Dynasty Record: 15-29 (6-11 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 18.4
Dynasty National Rank: #3097
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 42.4
Dynasty Record: 104-105-2 (40-41 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 2-8
2023 League Record/Finish: 0-3 (4th)
2023 Points For Average: 18.2
2023 Points Against Average: 28.5
2023 Differential: -10.3
2023 Wins: #6661 Sweetwater (National City) (23-17), #10239 San Diego (49-28)
2023 Losses: #2275 Mater Dei (Chula Vista) (42-14), #2861 Point Loma (San Diego) (42-6), #3529 Central (El Centro) (27-7), #3816 Mira Mesa (San Diego) (38-14), #5054 Eastlake (Chula Vista) (17-14), #5740 Mt. Carmel (San Diego) (28-27), #7460 Bonita Vista (Chula Vista) (24-13), #7653 Olympian (Chula Vista) (22-15)
2023 Opponents W-L: 60-57
Recent League Championships: 2017, 2006 (tied for 1st; Mesa)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/22 Mt. Carmel (San Diego), 8/30 at Point Loma (San Diego), 9/6 San Diego, 9/13 at Central (El Centro), 9/20 at Grossmont (El Cajon), 9/27 Olympian (Chula Vista), 10/4 Chula Vista, 10/11 Sweetwater (National City), 10/18 at Mater Dei (Chula Vista), 10/25 at Eastlake (Chula Vista)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Mater Dei (Chula Vista) (10.8), Point Loma (San Diego) (3.2), Central (El Centro) (-8.3)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: San Diego (-53.3), Olympian (Chula Vista) (-34.5), Sweetwater (National City) (-26.7)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.8
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -17.7
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -18.5
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #388
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5632
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2024 Projected League Finish: 5th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%