Monte Vista Christian (Watsonville, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/White
Coach: Spencer Ferrari
League: Pacific Coast - Mission North
Section: Central Coast
Playoff Division: none

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 9
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2023 JV Record: 3-7
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Dominic Pierini 6'3" 200 Senior QB
Nico Downie 5'10" 170 Senior WR
Max Torres 6'0" 200 Senior LB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Vertical Passing Game, Speed, Defensive Front 7
Team Weaknesses: Depth

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -13.9
2023 National Rank: #8366
2023 State Rank: #575
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5
2024 Starting Power Rating: -23.5
2024 National Rank: #6731
2024 State Rank: #456
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -12.2
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #8547
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 9.2
5-Year Dynasty Record: 21-23 (12-18 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): -0.7
Dynasty National Rank: #8463
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 20.7
Dynasty Record: 107-106-1 (53-67 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 6-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (tied for 3rd)
2023 Points For Average: 33.8
2023 Points Against Average: 26.3
2023 Differential: +7.5
2023 Wins: #9567 Los Altos (20-13), #10452 Watsonville (55-19), #11003 Rancho San Juan (Salinas) (31-13), #11074 Santa Clara (57-26), #11133 St. Francis (Watsonville) (41-35), #13796 Santa Cruz (56-0)
2023 Losses: #2141 Monterey (55-18), #4549 Scotts Valley (33-8), #8036 Seaside (41-27), #8985 North Monterey County (Castroville) (28-25)
2023 Opponents W-L: 46-58
Recent League Championships: 2019 (tied for 1st; Pacific Coast - Mission), 2011 (tied for 1st; Monterey Bay)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: 3
Streak List: 10/20/23 Santa Cruz (56-0), 10/27/23 Watsonville (55-19), 11/4/23 St. Francis (Watsonville) (41-35)

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Piedmont Hills (San Jose), 9/6 at Santa Clara, 9/13 Carlmont (Belmont), 9/20 Alvarez [Everett] (Salinas), 9/28 vs Watsonville, 10/4 at Alisal (Salinas), 10/11 Scotts Valley, 10/25 North Monterey County (Castroville), 11/2 at Seaside, 11/9 St. Francis (Watsonville)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Scotts Valley (-7.4), Alisal (Salinas) (-8.8), Alvarez [Everett] (Salinas) (-21.4)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: St. Francis (Watsonville) (-48.1), Seaside (-44.6), Santa Clara (-43.9)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.8
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -32.3
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -11.5
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #643
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9461
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2024 Projected League Finish: 4th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%