GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Red/Black
Coach: Johnny Millard
League: East Bay - Mountain
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 2
Playoff Division Rank: #3
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Brayden Turner 6'3.5" 210 Senior QB/OLB 4.81
Kellan Ford 6'0.5" 235 Senior TE/OLB 4.69
Julian McMahan 6'2" 215 Senior RB/OLB 4.59
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Running Game, QB, Clock Control
Team Weaknesses: Secondary Youth, Depth
RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 21
2023 National Rank: #2148
2023 State Rank: #162
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.4
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +2.6
2024 Starting Power Rating: 27.3
2024 National Rank: #674
2024 State Rank: #65
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 19.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #2080
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 7.8
5-Year Dynasty Record: 21-27 (7-15 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 33.7
Dynasty National Rank: #810
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 6.4
Dynasty Record: 138-95 (73-51 in league)
HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 4-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (5th)
2023 Points For Average: 28.4
2023 Points Against Average: 25.9
2023 Differential: +2.5
2023 Wins: #3429 Bellarmine (San Jose) (40-30), #4346 Granada (Livermore) (42-3), #5685 Foothill (Pleasanton) (41-14), #9921 San Leandro (50-8)
2023 Losses: #68 De La Salle (Concord) (31-7), #241 San Ramon Valley (Danville) (34-7), #821 California (San Ramon) (21-14), #1158 Amador Valley (Pleasanton) (41-34), #1213 Campolindo (Moraga) (38-14), #1361 Clayton Valley (Concord) (39-35)
2023 Opponents W-L: 58-52-1
Recent Section Championships: 2016 (1)
Recent League Championships: 2019 (tied for 1st), 2016 (East Bay), 2005 (East Bay)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 Granada (Livermore), 9/6 Bishop O'Dowd (Oakland), 9/13 vs Bellarmine (San Jose), 9/20 Logan [James] (Union City), 9/27 at Antioch, 10/4 at Dublin, 10/18 at California (San Ramon), 10/25 at De La Salle (Concord), 11/1 Amador Valley (Pleasanton), 11/8 San Ramon Valley (Danville)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: De La Salle (Concord) (58.1), San Ramon Valley (Danville) (39.8), Amador Valley (Pleasanton) (22)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Dublin (-17.6), Granada (Livermore) (-13.2), Bellarmine (San Jose) (-9.9)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.8
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.3
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -13.5
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #109
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1004
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2024 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%