Long Reach (Columbia, MD)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Lightning
Coach: Jamie Willis
League: Howard County
Playoff Division: 4A/3A
Playoff Division Rank*: #14

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -12.3
2023 National Rank: #8062
2023 State Rank: #121
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: +2.8
2024 Starting Power Rating*: -26.9
2024 National Rank*: #7859
2024 State Rank*: #116
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -5.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #7018
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 21.4
5-Year Dynasty Record: 26-17 (23-12 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 8.1
Dynasty National Rank: #5833
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 35
Dynasty Record: 117-92 (110-82 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 6-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 6-3 (tied for 3rd)
2023 Points For Average: 17.2
2023 Points Against Average: 15
2023 Differential: +2.2
2023 Wins: #8268 Oakland Mills (Columbia) (10-0), #8620 Wilde Lake (Columbia) (27-14), #8709 Atholton (Columbia) (26-6), #9518 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville) (13-8), #12135 Centennial (Ellicott City) (21-16), #12736 Hammond (Columbia) (27-0)
2023 Losses: #3951 Great Mills (26-13), #6247 Reservoir (Fulton) (28-27), #7968 Howard (Ellicott City) (24-0), #9622 River Hill (Clarksville) (28-8)
2023 Opponents W-L: 46-59
Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/24 Westminster, 9/6 at Wilde Lake (Columbia), 9/13 Atholton (Columbia), 9/21 at Oakland Mills (Columbia), 9/27 Howard (Ellicott City), 10/4 at River Hill (Clarksville), 10/10 Hammond (Columbia), 10/25 Centennial (Ellicott City), 10/30 at Glenelg
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Westminster (-12.2), Oakland Mills (Columbia) (-25.7), Atholton (Columbia) (-31)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Hammond (Columbia) (-79.2), Centennial (Ellicott City) (-70.6), Glenelg (-47.5)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -15.2 (-14.7 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -42.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -27.2
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #114
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #6528
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 6-3
2024 Projected League Finish*: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: 2%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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