Houston (Germantown, TN)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Black/Red/Gray
Coach: James Thomas
League: 6A Region 8
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank*: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2023 JV Record: 3-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Chandler Day 6'2" 190 Senior QB
Andre Allen 5'11" 165 Senior WR/DB 4.7
Celley Davis 6'2" 195 Junior RB 4.6

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Positions
Team Weaknesses: Unproven OL

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 53.2
2023 National Rank: #158
2023 State Rank: #3
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: +3.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment*: -1.2
2024 Starting Power Rating*: 43.9
2024 National Rank*: #136
2024 State Rank*: #3
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 32.9
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #725
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: better by 11.3
5-Year Dynasty Record: 46-18 (22-7 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 22.9
Dynasty National Rank: #2184
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: better by 21.3
Dynasty Record: 149-90 (75-54 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 13-2
2023 League Record/Finish: 6-1 (2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 35.3
2023 Points Against Average: 12.2
2023 Differential: +23.1
2023 Wins: #242 Tupelo (MS) (38-33), #277 Oakland (Murfreesboro) (24-9), #388 Germantown (30-10), #751 Brentwood (28-0), #1084 Bartlett (24-14), #1245 Collierville (42-28), #1245 Collierville (40-7), #2328 Whitehaven (Memphis) (48-14), #4040 Briarcrest Christian (Eads) (42-6), #4463 White Station (Memphis) (37-0), #5442 Cordova (42-13), #6252 Dickson County (Dickson) (47-0), #6854 Arlington (48-7)
2023 Losses: #370 South Panola (Batesville, MS) (28-26), #388 Germantown (14-13)
2023 Opponents W-L: 119-59
Recent State Championships: 2023
Recent League Championships: 2022 (tied for 1st), 2019 (6A Region 7), 2018 (6A Region 7)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: 12
Streak List: 9/8/23 Cordova (42-13), 9/15/23 Whitehaven (Memphis) (48-14), 9/22/23 Tupelo (MS) (38-33), 9/29/23 Bartlett (24-14), 10/5/23 Arlington (48-7), 10/20/23 White Station (Memphis) (37-0), 10/27/23 Collierville (42-28), 11/3/23 Dickson County (Dickson) (47-0), 11/10/23 Collierville (40-7), 11/17/23 Germantown (30-10), 11/24/23 Brentwood (28-0), 12/2/23 Oakland (Murfreesboro) (24-9)

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/23 Briarcrest Christian (Eads), 8/31 vs DeSoto Central (Southaven, MS), 9/6 at Germantown, 9/13 Cordova, 9/20 Whitehaven (Memphis), 9/27 at Tupelo (MS), 10/4 at Bartlett, 10/10 at Arlington, 10/25 White Station (Memphis), 11/1 Collierville
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Tupelo (MS) (44.3), Germantown (29.7), Bartlett (24.4)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Arlington (-26.6), Cordova (-13.6), Briarcrest Christian (Eads) (-8.9)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 25.6 (27.4 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: 7.2
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -18.4
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #13
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #685
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 9-1
2024 Projected League Finish*: 1st
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: 28%




*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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