| Grace (Simi Valley, CA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lancers Colors: Red/White/Black Coach: Tom Coate League: Citrus Coast (moving from Freelance) Section: Southern Playoff Division: none RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 10 Returning Defensive Starters: 10 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Ethan LaSecla 5'11" 170 Senior QB 4.64 Kale Knighton 6'4" 200 Senior DE/OL Alex Van 5'8" 160 Senior WR/DB 4.64 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Senior Experience Team Weaknesses: Depth RATINGS 2023 Final Power Rating: -31.5 2023 National Rank: #11307 2023 State Rank: #787 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +10.5 2024 Starting Power Rating: -40.7 2024 National Rank: #9760 2024 State Rank: #676 5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 10.3 5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #3523 2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 48.9 5-Year Dynasty Record: 18-6 (4-0 in league) Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 15.7 Dynasty National Rank: #3771 2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 54.3 Dynasty Record: 150-70 (47-22 in league) HISTORICAL 2023 Overall Record: 6-4 2023 League Record/Finish: 2023 Points For Average: 41.4 2023 Points Against Average: 29.9 2023 Differential: +11.5 2023 Wins: #11909 Santa Rosa Academy (Menifee) (36-34), #12003 Carpinteria (36-30), #13236 Glendale (50-13), #13738 Verbum Dei (Los Angeles) (41-0), #13799 Rancho Dominguez (Long Beach) (48-0), #13968 Desert Chapel (Palm Springs) (63-12) 2023 Losses: #3883 Diamond Ranch (Pomona) (56-13), #6062 Crespi (Encino) (55-49), #8473 Arrowhead Christian (Redlands) (34-28), #11062 Miller [A. B.] (Fontana) (65-50) 2023 Opponents W-L: 43-59 Recent Section/State Championships: 2018 (4), 2018 (Bowl 2-AA), 2017 (8), 2004 (XII) Recent League Championships: 2019 (Camino), 2018 (Camino), 2017 (Tri-Valley), 2016 (Tri-Valley), 2015 (Frontier), 2014 (Frontier), 2010 (Frontier), 2005 (Olympic), 2004 (Alpha) Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none SCHEDULE 2024 Schedule: 8/23 at Santa Rosa Academy (Menifee), 8/31 vs Arrowhead Christian (Redlands), 9/6 vs Amador (Sutter Creek), 9/13 at Ridgeview (Bakersfield), 9/20 at Oak Park, 10/4 at Glenn [John] (Norwalk), 10/10 vs Brentwood (Los Angeles), 10/18 at Nordhoff (Ojai), 10/25 vs Channel Islands (Oxnard), 11/1 at Carpinteria Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Brentwood (Los Angeles) (-7.6), Oak Park (-17), Ridgeview (Bakersfield) (-31.2) Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Channel Islands (Oxnard) (-60.6), Carpinteria (-53.9), Glenn [John] (Norwalk) (-51.5) 2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -35.5 (-37.3 overall) 2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -37.9 2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.4 2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #722 2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10647 2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5 2024 Projected League Finish: 1st 2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |