Churchill (Eugene, OR)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Blue/Red
Coach: Layne Coffin
League: 5A Special District 4 (moving from 5A Special District 2)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank*: #18

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -24.4
2023 National Rank: #10224
2023 State Rank: #76
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: +2.6
2024 Starting Power Rating*: -32.8
2024 National Rank*: #8942
2024 State Rank*: #67
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -15.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #9313
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 17.1
5-Year Dynasty Record: 16-26 (15-14 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 3.7
Dynasty National Rank: #7179
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 36.5
Dynasty Record: 109-95 (70-57 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 3-6
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-4 (5th)
2023 Points For Average: 26.4
2023 Points Against Average: 24.1
2023 Differential: +2.3
2023 Wins: #12202 North Eugene (Eugene) (47-0), #12884 South Eugene (Eugene) (34-8), #13185 Willamette (Eugene) (40-13)
2023 Losses: #2319 Mountain View (Bend) (37-0), #4746 Marist (Eugene) (36-35), #5400 Thurston (Springfield) (48-28), #7599 Springfield (21-8), #9681 Eagle Point (28-22), #10585 Crater (Central Point) (26-24)
2023 Opponents W-L: 53-41
Recent League Championships: 2018 (5A Special District 2 South), 2017 (5A Midwestern), 2006 (5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 9/6 Springfield, 9/13 at Roseburg, 9/27 Crater (Central Point), 10/3 at Thurston (Springfield), 10/10 North Eugene (Eugene), 10/18 at Willamette (Eugene), 10/25 South Eugene (Eugene), 11/1 at Eagle Point
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Thurston (Springfield) (-8.9), Springfield (-22.1), Crater (Central Point) (-34.4)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Willamette (Eugene) (-66.8), North Eugene (Eugene) (-55.8), South Eugene (Eugene) (-54.2)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -19.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -40.7
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -21.6
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 5-3
2024 Projected League Finish*: 3rd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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