Chugiak (AK)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Columbia/Black/White
Coach: Ryan Landers
League: Railbelt (moving from Northern Lights-Railbelt)
Playoff Division: II
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: -30.2
2023 National Rank: #11120
2023 State Rank: #19
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -9.6
2024 Starting Power Rating: -52.1
2024 National Rank: #11357
2024 State Rank: #19
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): -25.5
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #11165
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 24.5
5-Year Dynasty Record: 12-28 (6-14 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 2.3
Dynasty National Rank: #7599
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 52.3
Dynasty Record: 84-100 [88-96 on the field] (59-60 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 1-8
2023 League Record/Finish: 1-6 (8th)
2023 Points For Average: 11.8
2023 Points Against Average: 32
2023 Differential: -20.2
2023 Wins: #9830 North Pole (33-30)
2023 Losses: #2192 Soldotna (63-7), #2192 Soldotna (56-0), #5401 Lathrop (Fairbanks) (45-20), #7586 Eagle River (18-0), #7566 South (Anchorage) (19-18), #10151 Palmer (10-7), #10565 Wasilla (13-7), #11067 West Valley (Fairbanks) (34-14)
2023 Opponents W-L: 53-37
Recent League Championships: 2019 (tied for 1st; Chugach), 2017 (Northern Railbelt), 2016 (tied for 1st; Northern Railbelt), 2015 (tied for 1st; Cook Inlet), 2007 (Cook Inlet), 2003 (tied for 1st; Cook Inlet)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/16 Wasilla, 8/23 Soldotna, 8/30 at Service (Anchorage), 9/7 at Kenai Central (Kenai), 9/14 at North Pole, 9/20 Lathrop (Fairbanks), 9/28 at West Valley (Fairbanks), 10/5 Palmer, 10/12 at Eagle River
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Soldotna (3.3), Lathrop (Fairbanks) (-9.9), Eagle River (-19.8)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: West Valley (Fairbanks) (-44), Kenai Central (Kenai) (-36.6), Wasilla (-33)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.2 (-5.4 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -25.4
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -13.2
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #8
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7600
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 1-8
2024 Projected League Finish: 5th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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