GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Black/Red
League: 4A Grand Canyon
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #14
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
James Giggey 6'3" 245 Senior DL
RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 2.7
2023 National Rank: #4962
2023 State Rank: #67
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.7
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -4.8
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +2.3
2024 Starting Power Rating: -12
2024 National Rank: #4973
2024 State Rank: #68
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 2.1
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #5176
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 14.1
5-Year Dynasty Record: 30-21 (18-9 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 9.5
Dynasty National Rank: #5430
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 21.5
Dynasty Record: 127-104 (72-37 in league)
HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 7-4
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (3rd)
2023 Points For Average: 27.2
2023 Points Against Average: 23.5
2023 Differential: +3.7
2023 Wins: #3792 Snowflake (24-14), #6763 Prescott (21-13), #7755 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (41-20), #8046 Moon Valley (Phoenix) (38-6), #9036 Apache Junction (41-28), #9240 Mingus (Cottonwood) (34-7), #11425 Flagstaff (49-32)
2023 Losses: #663 Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (42-7), #2870 Thunderbird (Phoenix) (17-16), #4280 Williams [Lee] (Kingman) (38-21), #4555 Coconino (Flagstaff) (41-7)
2023 Opponents W-L: 65-54
Recent League Championships: 2022, 2021 (tied for 1st), 2016, 2014 (III Section IV), 2013 (tied for 1st; III Section IV), 2005 (4A Wells Fargo 2)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/30 at Snowflake, 9/6 at Canyon del Oro (Tucson), 9/13 Moon Valley (Phoenix), 9/20 at St. Mary's (Phoenix), 9/27 Apache Junction, 10/4 Coconino (Flagstaff), 10/18 at Mingus (Cottonwood), 10/24 Prescott, 10/31 at Flagstaff, 11/8 Williams [Lee] (Kingman)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (17.7), Williams [Lee] (Kingman) (-3.8), Snowflake (-5)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents: Flagstaff (-47.2), Mingus (Cottonwood) (-40.4), Apache Junction (-36)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -0.5 (-0.3 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -19.6
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison: -19.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #70
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6073
2024 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2024 Projected League Finish: 4th
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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