Bay City Western (Auburn, MI)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Warriors
Colors: Brown/Gold
Coach: Chris Willertz
League: Saginaw Valley - North
Playoff Division: 3
Playoff Division Rank*: #21

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 1.1
2023 National Rank: #5278
2023 State Rank: #150
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: -0.4
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment*: -4.2
2024 Starting Power Rating*: -9.5
2024 National Rank*: #4727
2024 State Rank*: #136
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 1.7
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #5283
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 11.2
5-Year Dynasty Record: 24-23 (12-16 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 8.8
Dynasty National Rank: #5616
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 18.3
Dynasty Record: 107-98 (83-67 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 5-5
2023 League Record/Finish: 2-4 (tied for 5th)
2023 Points For Average: 27
2023 Points Against Average: 17.6
2023 Differential: +9.4
2023 Wins: #4719 Petoskey (26-6), #5580 Midland (24-14), #10119 Central (Bay City) (49-12), #10549 Hill [Arthur] (Saginaw) (63-30), #10796 Ypsilanti (48-6)
2023 Losses: #1971 Gaylord (28-8), #2191 Mt. Pleasant (28-24), #4527 Dow [H. H.] (Midland) (17-7), #5195 Traverse City West (Traverse City) (8-7), #5550 Traverse City Central (Traverse City) (27-14)
2023 Opponents W-L: 48-53
Recent League Championships: 2008 (Saginaw Valley), 2005 (tied for 1st; Saginaw Valley), 2004 (Saginaw Valley)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/29 at Holly, 9/6 at Petoskey, 9/13 Midland, 9/20 Dow [H. H.] (Midland), 9/27 at Carman-Ainsworth (Flint), 10/4 at Mt. Pleasant, 10/11 Traverse City Central (Traverse City), 10/18 at Traverse City West (Traverse City), 10/25 Central (Bay City)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Mt. Pleasant (8.5), Petoskey (-5.5), Dow [H. H.] (Midland) (-10)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Central (Bay City) (-46.1), Carman-Ainsworth (Flint) (-32.7), Holly (-21.2)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.3 (0.2 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: -16.5
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -15.2
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #129
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #2731
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 6-3
2024 Projected League Finish*: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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