Bartram Trail (St. Johns, FL)       previews home


TEAM NOT OFFICIALLY RATED YET; HAVEN'T HEARD BACK FROM COACH

GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Blue/Silver
Coach: Cory Johns
League: 6A District 3 (moving from 4S District 3)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank*: #6

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Riley Trujillo 6'3" 215 Senior QB

RATINGS
2023 Final Power Rating: 46.2
2023 National Rank: #313
2023 State Rank: #27
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment*: -1.2
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment*: -2.6
2024 Starting Power Rating*: 30.1
2024 National Rank*: #466
2024 State Rank*: #44
5-Year Dynasty Rating (Average 2018-2023 Rating): 48
5-Year Dynasty National Rank: #156
2024 Rating vs. 5-Year Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 17.9
5-Year Dynasty Record: 50-12 (19-1 in league)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2023 Rating): 39.4
Dynasty National Rank: #396
2024 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison*: worse by 9.3
Dynasty Record: 171-85 (66-16 in league)

HISTORICAL
2023 Overall Record: 8-5
2023 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (2nd)
2023 Points For Average: 32.2
2023 Points Against Average: 29.8
2023 Differential: +2.4
2023 Wins: #164 Mandarin (Jacksonville) (24-14), #445 Niceville (28-21), #514 Ponte Vedra (20-17), #739 Creekside (Jacksonville) (31-19), #1252 Oakleaf (Orange Park) (45-42), #1326 Navarre (67-55), #2294 Fleming Island (Orange Park) (49-28), #3760 Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) (55-0)
2023 Losses: #7 IMG Academy (Bradenton) (49-20), #91 Mainland (Daytona Beach) (28-24), #104 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (43-7), #104 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (37-17), #188 St. Augustine (34-31)
2023 Opponents W-L: 114-43
Recent League Championships: 2022 (4S District 3), 2021 (8A District 1), 2020 (8A Region 1), 2019 (8A District 1), 2018 (tied for 1st; 7A District 3), 2017 (7A District 3), 2007 (5A District 2), 2006 (5A District 2), 2005 (5A District 2)
Winning Streak Entering 2024 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2024 Schedule: 8/16 at Riverside (Jacksonville), 8/23 Sumner (Riverview), 8/30 Ponte Vedra, 9/6 at Ware County (Waycross, GA), 9/13 Creekside (St. Johns), 9/20 at Orange Park, 9/27 Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine), 10/11 Nease [Allen D.] (Ponte Vedra), 10/18 St. Augustine, 10/25 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville), 11/1 Ribault [Jean] (Jacksonville)
Highest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: St. Augustine (49.5), Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (37.7), Ware County (Waycross, GA) (35.7)
Lowest-Rated 2024 Regular Season Opponents*: Orange Park (-2.5), Ribault [Jean] (Jacksonville) (-2.5), Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) (5.2)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 41.7 (42.9 overall)
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength*: 22.6
2024 vs. 2023 Schedule Strength Comparison*: -19.1
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank*: #16
2024 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank*: #156
2024 Projected Regular Season Record*: 7-4
2024 Projected League Finish*: 2nd
2024 Undefeated Regular Season Probability*: less than 1%



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*temporary; not finalized until August 8th






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