| St. Vincent (Petaluma, CA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Mustangs Colors: Blue/White/Red Coach: Trent Herzog League: North Bay - Redwood Section: North Coast Playoff Division: 6 Playoff Division Rank: #1 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 7 Returning Defensive Starters: 8 2022 JV Record: 5-5 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Robert Rooks 6'3" 250 Junior T/DL 5.2 Jack Davis 5'11" 180 Senior WR/DB 4.7 Nour Elbelisy 6'1" 270 Senior OL/DL 5.3 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Lines, DB/WR, Experience Team Weaknesses: QB/RB/LB Inexperience, Lost Prolific RB To Graduation RATINGS 2022 Final Power Rating: 6.5 2022 National Rank: #4298 2022 State Rank: #262 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5 2023 Starting Power Rating: -13.7 2023 National Rank: #4687 2023 State Rank: #275 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): -9.4 Dynasty National Rank: #8153 2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.3 Dynasty Record: 39-12-1 (9-1-1 in league) HISTORICAL 2022 Overall Record: 12-1 2022 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (1st) 2022 Points For Average: 39.5 2022 Points Against Average: 15.1 2022 Differential: +24.4 2022 Wins: #6045 Oakland Tech (Oakland) (29-12), #6757 St. Bernard's (Eureka) (33-7), #6757 St. Bernard's (Eureka) (35-24), #7130 Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (49-28), #7933 Ukiah (42-14), #8019 McKinleyville (42-7), #8947 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (28-7), #9092 Hoopa Valley (Hoopa) (28-15), #9364 St. Helena (28-7), #10708 Piner (Santa Rosa) (56-13), #13374 Incline (Incline Village, NV) (45-0), #13766 Healdsburg (43-6) 2022 Losses: #4853 Clear Lake (Lakeport) (56-55) 2022 Opponents W-L: 69-71 Recent Section Championships: 2021 (7), 2008 (V), 2005 (B) Recent League Championships: 2022, 2021 (tied for 1st), 2020 (North Bay - Group 2), 2014 (North Central II), 2013 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2012 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2008 (tied for 1st; North Central I - South), 2005 (North Central I South) Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none SCHEDULE 2023 Schedule: 8/26 De Anza (El Sobrante), 9/2 Oakland Tech (Oakland), 9/9 Balboa (San Francisco), 9/22 at Montgomery (Santa Rosa), 9/29 at Fortuna, 10/7 Piner (Santa Rosa), 10/14 at St. Bernard's (Eureka), 10/21 Ukiah, 10/27 vs Healdsburg, 11/3 at Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: St. Bernard's (Eureka) (-23.5), Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (-24.6), Oakland Tech (Oakland) (-24.7) Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Healdsburg (-77.5), Balboa (San Francisco) (-50.1), Piner (Santa Rosa) (-40.9) 2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -18 (-15.6 overall) 2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -38.2 2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -20.2 2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #623 2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10248 2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1 2023 Projected League Finish: 1st 2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 28% |