Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Padres
Colors: Royal Blue/Gold
Coach: Patrick Walsh
League: West Catholic
Section: Central Coast
Playoff Division: none

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
2022 JV Record: 7-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Jabari Mann 6'0" 210 Senior LB/RB
Danny Niu 6'0" 220 Senior LB/RB
Joseph Bey 6'0" 190 Senior S

ADDITIONAL D1 PROSPECTS
Maealiuaki Smith 6'4" 195 Senior QB
John Holthaus 6'7" 280 Senior OT

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Ryan Silver 6'4" 300 Senior IOL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience, Senior Leadership, Speed
Team Weaknesses: Replacing C/All WRs

RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: 61
2022 National Rank: #57
2022 State Rank: #7
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +10.2
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.8
2023 Starting Power Rating: 58.3
2023 National Rank: #41
2023 State Rank: #6
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): 52.3
Dynasty National Rank: #101
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 6
Dynasty Record: 49-10 (29-4 in league)

HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 13-1
2022 League Record/Finish: 7-0 (1st)
2022 Points For Average: 33.9
2022 Points Against Average: 14.2
2022 Differential: +19.7
2022 Wins: #89 Folsom (17-12), #132 De La Salle (Concord) (24-21), #633 Mitty (San Jose) (41-14), #633 Mitty (San Jose) (35-7), #644 St. Francis (Mountain View) (29-7), #681 Central Catholic (Modesto) (42-30), #769 Salinas (57-21), #1327 Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco) (43-7), #1387 Bellarmine (San Jose) (28-7), #1800 Palma (Salinas) (57-7), #1818 St. Ignatius (San Francisco) (21-7), #3390 Riordan (San Francisco) (45-7), #3677 Valley Christian (San Jose) (36-7)
2022 Losses: #1 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (45-0)
2022 Opponents W-L: 111-64
Recent Section/State Championships: 2022 (I), 2021 (I), 2019 (I), 2017 (Open II), 2017 (Bowl 2-AA), 2016 (Open II), 2013 (Open), 2011 (I)
Recent League Championships: 2022, 2020, 2019 (tied for 1st), 2017, 2016 (tied for 1st), 2014 (tied for 1st), 2013 (tied for 1st), 2008 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 8/26 Folsom, 9/2 De La Salle (Concord), 9/8 at Central Catholic (Modesto), 9/22 vs Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco), 9/30 St. Francis (Mountain View), 10/6 vs Mitty (San Jose), 10/14 Bellarmine (San Jose), 10/21 Riordan (San Francisco), 10/27 at Valley Christian (San Jose), 11/3 St. Ignatius (San Francisco)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: De La Salle (Concord) (45), Folsom (42.7), Central Catholic (Modesto) (23.2)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Valley Christian (San Jose) (-1.7), Bellarmine (San Jose) (0.7), Riordan (San Francisco) (1.8)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 30.2 (39.1 overall)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.1
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16.1
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #39
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #380
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2023 Projected League Finish: 1st
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 66%