GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Midnight Blue/Forest Green/White
Coach: Nathan Yates
League: Commonwealth
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #5
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Mega Barnwell 6'6" 250 Senior WR
RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: 24.4
2022 National Rank: #1712
2022 State Rank: #29
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +1.9
2023 Starting Power Rating: 10.5
2023 National Rank: #1414
2023 State Rank: #28
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): 16
Dynasty National Rank: #2611
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.7
Dynasty Record: 26-25 (16-14 in league)
HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 9-3
2022 League Record/Finish: 5-1 (tied for 1st)
2022 Points For Average: 30.1
2022 Points Against Average: 18.9
2022 Differential: +11.2
2022 Wins: #2751 Colonial Forge (Stafford) (29-0), #2860 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (21-14), #3714 Brooke Point (Stafford) (35-23), #4986 Massaponax (Spotsylvania) (32-15), #7190 Courtland (Spotsylvania) (44-19), #7274 North Stafford (Stafford) (34-8), #7940 Stafford (Falmouth) (37-0), #8078 Spotsylvania (49-0), #10877 Chancellor (Fredericksburg) (39-0)
2022 Losses: #103 Freedom (Woodbridge) (74-0), #412 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (50-29), #1140 Mountain View (Stafford) (24-12)
2022 Opponents W-L: 73-62
Recent League Championships: 2022 (tied for 1st), 2021 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 8/25 at Chancellor (Fredericksburg), 9/1 Forest Park (Woodbridge), 9/8 King George, 9/22 at Highland Springs, 9/29 Mountain View (Stafford), 10/6 at North Stafford (Stafford), 10/13 Colonial Forge (Stafford), 10/20 Stafford (Falmouth), 10/27 Brooke Point (Stafford), 11/3 at Massaponax (Spotsylvania)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Highland Springs (39.1), King George (23.8), Mountain View (Stafford) (17.7)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Chancellor (Fredericksburg) (-40.9), North Stafford (Stafford) (-26.7), Stafford (Falmouth) (-26.6)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 3.9 (12.2 overall)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.2
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.1
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #16
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1820
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2023 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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