Ponderosa (Parker, CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Cardinal/Gold
Coach: Jaron Cohen
League: 4A Southeast Metro (moving from 5A/4A League 5)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #6

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2022 JV Record: 5-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Max Mervin 6'0" 180 Junior WR/CB 4.6
Carson Keach 6'2" 190 Senior WR/S 4.6
Blake Branham 5'11" 190 Senior LB/TE 4.7

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Defensive Speed, WRs, RB Depth
Team Weaknesses: New QB, Replacing Several OL

RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: 20.3
2022 National Rank: #2206
2022 State Rank: #24
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5
2023 Starting Power Rating: 1.1
2023 National Rank: #2468
2023 State Rank: #28
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): 21.6
Dynasty National Rank: #1812
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 20.7
Dynasty Record: 40-16 (19-4 in league)

HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 9-3
2022 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (2nd)
2022 Points For Average: 34.6
2022 Points Against Average: 19.8
2022 Differential: +14.8
2022 Wins: #1867 Erie (39-27), #1922 Legend (Parker) (21-14), #4161 Golden (56-7), #4421 Pueblo West (33-14), #5792 Far Northeast Warriors (Denver) (55-27), #6072 Chaparral (Parker) (44-6), #6585 Bear Creek (Lakewood) (49-7), #8737 Jefferson [Thomas] (Denver) (7-6), #8999 Vista PEAK Prep (Aurora) (35-6)
2022 Losses: #1371 Palmer Ridge (Monument) (48-34), #1867 Erie (43-25), #3400 Denver South (Denver) (32-17)
2022 Opponents W-L: 79-60
Recent State Championships: 2003 (5A)
Recent League Championships: 2020 (4A Western Slope), 2019 (4A Metro), 2018 (4A Metro), 2016 (4A Foothills), 2014 (tied for 1st; 4A Plains), 2012 (4A Pikes Peak), 2009 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (tied for 1st; 5A Continental National)
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 8/25 Fort Collins, 9/1 Chaparral (Parker), 9/8 at Golden, 9/15 at Legend (Parker), 9/21 at Palmer Ridge (Monument), 9/30 at Denver South (Denver), 10/5 at Vista PEAK Prep (Aurora), 10/13 at Far Northeast Warriors (Denver), 10/21 Jefferson [Thomas] (Denver), 10/26 at Bear Creek (Lakewood)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Palmer Ridge (Monument) (16.6), Legend (Parker) (6.1), Denver South (Denver) (-1.3)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Jefferson [Thomas] (Denver) (-35.1), Vista PEAK Prep (Aurora) (-33.6), Fort Collins (-28.6)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.8 (8.1 overall)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -14.8
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -24.6
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #33
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4096
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2023 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%