Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Joe Peake
League: 4A District 2 (moving from 3A District 3)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #40

RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: -39.8
2022 National Rank: #12445
2022 State Rank: #194
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -0.9
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.5
2023 Starting Power Rating: -62.6
2023 National Rank: #12423
2023 State Rank: #193
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): -30.3
Dynasty National Rank: #12182
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 32.5
Dynasty Record: 10-41 (4-16 in league)

HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 0-10
2022 League Record/Finish: 0-4 (5th)
2022 Points For Average: 6.7
2022 Points Against Average: 37.6
2022 Differential: -30.9
2022 Wins: none
2022 Losses: #1676 Bardstown (45-7), #3555 Elizabethtown (42-0), #5898 Nelson County (Bardstown) (44-0), #6713 Bethlehem (Bardstown) (49-9), #7418 Atherton (Louisville) (56-7), #7625 Kentucky Country Day (Louisville) (17-0), #7753 Larue County (Hodgenville) (36-14), #8719 Warren Central (Bowling Green) (40-0), #11201 Washington County (Springfield) (21-14), #12194 Marion County (Lebanon) (26-16)
2022 Opponents W-L: 68-50
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 8/18 DuBois Academy [W. E. B.] (Louisville), 8/26 Washington County (Springfield), 9/1 at Bardstown, 9/8 at Fort Knox, 9/15 at Marion County (Lebanon), 9/22 Nelson County (Bardstown), 9/29 at Hardin [John] (Elizabethtown), 10/13 Breckinridge County (Harned), 10/20 at Grant County (Dry Ridge), 10/27 at Iroquois (Louisville)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Bardstown (-2.8), Nelson County (Bardstown) (-14.8), Hardin [John] (Elizabethtown) (-45.3)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Breckinridge County (Harned) (-78.2), Iroquois (Louisville) (-70.3), Fort Knox (-64.8)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -8
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -44.5
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -36.5
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #173
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11496
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2023 Projected League Finish: 5th
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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