Nelson County (Bardstown, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Cardinals
Colors: Red/White/Blue
Coach: Phillip Stockdale
League: 4A District 2 (moving from 3A District 3)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #15

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2022 JV Record: 0-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Paul Briney 5'11" 185 Senior QB 5.0
Joey Goff 5'10" 210 Senior FB/LB 5.0
Brandon Newton 6'1" 240 Senior T/DL 5.2

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Eight 4-Year Starters
Team Weaknesses: Secondary

RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: -0.9
2022 National Rank: #5898
2022 State Rank: #75
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.5
2023 Starting Power Rating: -14.6
2023 National Rank: #4833
2023 State Rank: #58
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): -33.3
Dynasty National Rank: #12519
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 18.5
Dynasty Record: 11-38 (2-19 in league)

HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 8-4
2022 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (3rd)
2022 Points For Average: 30.7
2022 Points Against Average: 20.3
2022 Differential: +10.4
2022 Wins: #6474 Henry County (New Castle) (37-34), #7232 North Oldham (Goshen) (17-7), #7753 Larue County (Hodgenville) (37-34), #11201 Washington County (Springfield) (36-7), #12194 Marion County (Lebanon) (37-0), #12445 Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown) (44-0), #13142 Caverna (Horse Cave) (45-22), #13602 Shawnee (Louisville) (49-0)
2022 Losses: #1676 Bardstown (43-16), #1676 Bardstown (21-7), #3555 Elizabethtown (42-14), #6955 Green County (Greensburg) (34-29)
2022 Opponents W-L: 69-70
Recent League Championships: 2004 (tied for 1st; 4A District 3)
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 8/19 Bullitt Central (Shepherdsville), 8/26 vs South Oldham (Crestwood), 9/1 Washington County (Springfield), 9/8 at Metcalfe County (Edmonton), 9/15 Breckinridge County (Harned), 9/22 at Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown), 9/29 Holy Cross (Louisville), 10/13 Bardstown, 10/20 at Hardin [John] (Elizabethtown), 10/27 at Spencer County (Taylorsville)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Bardstown (-2.8), South Oldham (Crestwood) (-9.1), Spencer County (Taylorsville) (-12.7)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Breckinridge County (Harned) (-78.2), Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown) (-62.8), Bullitt Central (Shepherdsville) (-49.6)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.6 (-10.6 overall)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -35.3
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.7
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #127
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9497
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2023 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 2%