GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Orange/Green
Coach: Toby Bullock
League: 4M District 1
Playoff Division: 4M
Playoff Division Rank: #3
D1 PROSPECTS
Jon Mitchell 6'0" 175 Senior CB
Deryc Plazz 6'5" 285 Senior OT
Antoine Belgrave-Shorter 6'0" 180 Senior CB
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Jeremiah Shack 6'3" 190 Senior WR
RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: 31.3
2022 National Rank: #1055
2022 State Rank: #78
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.3
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +9.6
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +4.7
2023 Starting Power Rating: 38.4
2023 National Rank: #187
2023 State Rank: #22
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): 35.6
Dynasty National Rank: #568
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.6
Dynasty Record: 31-24 (11-6 in league)
HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 5-5
2022 League Record/Finish: 2-0 (1st)
2022 Points For Average: 26
2022 Points Against Average: 20.4
2022 Differential: +5.6
2022 Wins: #1466 Fletcher [Duncan U.] (Neptune Beach) (27-13), #2099 Riverside (Jacksonville) (28-6), #2291 Sandalwood (Jacksonville) (24-14), #5161 Westside (Jacksonville) (28-0), #6662 Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) (30-0)
2022 Losses: #143 Bartram Trail (St. Johns) (42-20), #158 Seminole (Sanford) (30-28), #390 Bolles (Jacksonville) (27-20), #573 Creekside (Jacksonville) (37-27), #1047 Fleming Island (Orange Park) (35-28)
2022 Opponents W-L: 63-50
Recent State Championships: 2018 (8A)
Recent League Championships: 2022, 2018 (8A District 1), 2015 (8A District 1), 2008 (tied for 1st; 6A District 1), 2004 (6A District 1)
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 8/25 Fletcher [Duncan U.] (Neptune Beach), 9/1 at Bolles (Jacksonville), 9/8 at Riverside (Jacksonville), 9/15 Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville), 9/22 at Creekside (Jacksonville), 9/29 at Lake Mary, 10/6 Westside (Jacksonville), 10/13 at Fleming Island (Orange Park), 10/26 at Sandalwood (Jacksonville), 11/3 at Bartram Trail (St. Johns)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Bartram Trail (St. Johns) (42.2), Bolles (Jacksonville) (42), Lake Mary (33.5)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) (-22.1), Westside (Jacksonville) (-17.5), Sandalwood (Jacksonville) (4.4)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.9 (30.9 overall)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.3
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -12.6
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #44
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #370
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2023 Projected League Finish: 1st
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 6%
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