Long Reach (Columbia, MD)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lightning
Coach: Jamie Willis
League: Howard County
Playoff Division: 4A/3A
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: 3.1
2022 National Rank: #4927
2022 State Rank: #59
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -2.7
2023 Starting Power Rating: -21.3
2023 National Rank: #6085
2023 State Rank: #82
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): -1.8
Dynasty National Rank: #6366
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 19.7
Dynasty Record: 27-17 (24-12 in league)

HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 9-3
2022 League Record/Finish: 7-2 (3rd)
2022 Points For Average: 21.8
2022 Points Against Average: 11.6
2022 Differential: +10.2
2022 Wins: #5247 Chesapeake (Pasadena) (14-13), #6938 Crofton (Gambrills) (22-8), #8825 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (21-0), #9022 Glenelg (25-8), #9158 Wilde Lake (Columbia) (25-22), #9200 Reservoir (Fulton) (29-0), #9422 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville) (7-0), #11930 Centennial (Ellicott City) (49-12), #13062 Hammond (Columbia) (45-0)
2022 Losses: #1169 Damascus (47-12), #3871 River Hill (Clarksville) (16-6), #7397 Howard (Ellicott City) (13-6)
2022 Opponents W-L: 65-66
Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 9/1 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville), 9/11 at Atholton (Columbia), 9/18 at Howard (Ellicott City), 9/22 at River Hill (Clarksville), 9/30 Centennial (Ellicott City), 10/6 Oakland Mills (Columbia), 10/14 at Hammond (Columbia), 10/19 at Reservoir (Fulton), 10/28 at Wilde Lake (Columbia)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Atholton (Columbia) (-14.7), River Hill (Clarksville) (-16.3), Howard (Ellicott City) (-28.7)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Hammond (Columbia) (-70.2), Centennial (Ellicott City) (-58.5), Oakland Mills (Columbia) (-40.6)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -24 (-7.1 overall)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -38.3
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.3
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #147
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10225
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-2
2023 Projected League Finish: 9th
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 3%



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