Kinkaid (Houston, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Nathan Larned
League: Southwest Prep 4A
Playoff Division: Southwest Prep 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #4

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Micah Bell 5'10" 170 Senior CB

RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: 33.5
2022 National Rank: #876
2022 State Rank: #130
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -1.8
2023 Starting Power Rating: 12.2
2023 National Rank: #1279
2023 State Rank: #199
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): 32.1
Dynasty National Rank: #781
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 20.1
Dynasty Record: 38-12-1 (19-3-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 7-4
2022 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (tied for 1st)
2022 Points For Average: 25.2
2022 Points Against Average: 19.4
2022 Differential: +5.8
2022 Wins: #722 Episcopal (Dallas) (20-17), #798 Episcopal (Bellaire) (17-6), #971 St. John's (Houston) (38-28), #2200 Second Baptist (Houston) (44-31), #2625 Little Cypress-Mauriceville (Orange) (23-6), #4227 St. Mark's (Dallas) (49-14), #6060 Tomball Christian HomeSchool (Tomball) (30-14)
2022 Losses: #671 St. Thomas (Houston) (35-14), #798 Episcopal (Bellaire) (21-15), #1639 Jasper (20-15), #2025 Archbishop Shaw (Marrero, LA) (21-12)
2022 Opponents W-L: 78-40
Recent State Championships: 2022, 2021, 2018, 2017, 2015 (Southwest Prep Large), 2013 (Southwest Prep Large), 2010 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwestern Prep I)
Recent League Championships: 2022 (tied for 1st), 2020, 2018, 2013 (Southwest Prep - South), 2012 (tied for 1st; Southwest Prep - South), 2011 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwest Preparatory I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: 2
Streak List: 10/28/22 St. John's (Houston) (38-28), 11/5/22 Episcopal (Bellaire) (17-6)

SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 8/25 Jasper, 9/1 Tomball Christian HomeSchool (Tomball), 9/8 Archbishop Shaw (Marrero, LA), 9/14 at Little Cypress-Mauriceville (Orange), 9/22 at Second Baptist (Houston), 9/29 St. Thomas (Houston), 10/6 St. Mark's (Dallas), 10/13 at Episcopal (Dallas), 10/20 at Episcopal (Bellaire), 10/27 vs St. John's (Houston)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Jasper (25), Episcopal (Bellaire) (23.8), St. Thomas (Houston) (22.4)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Tomball Christian HomeSchool (Tomball) (-19), St. Mark's (Dallas) (-12.9), Second Baptist (Houston) (2)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 25.2 (25.5 overall)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.3
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -15.9
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #123
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #617
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2023 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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