Colonial Forge (Stafford, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Eagles
Colors: Green/Navy/Silver
Coach: John Brown
League: Commonwealth
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #25

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Nolan McConnell 6'6" 280 Senior OT
Donte Hawthorne 6'0" 200 Senior RB

RATINGS
2022 Final Power Rating: 16.1
2022 National Rank: #2751
2022 State Rank: #53
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.8
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -5.5
2023 Starting Power Rating: -9.8
2023 National Rank: #4063
2023 State Rank: #100
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2022 Rating): 27.4
Dynasty National Rank: #1183
2023 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 37.4
Dynasty Record: 36-19 (23-7 in league)

HISTORICAL
2022 Overall Record: 6-6
2022 League Record/Finish: 4-2 (3rd)
2022 Points For Average: 18.3
2022 Points Against Average: 23.3
2022 Differential: -5
2022 Wins: #1140 Mountain View (Stafford) (12-8), #1718 Battlefield (Haymarket) (17-13), #3714 Brooke Point (Stafford) (17-6), #5514 West Potomac (Alexandria) (35-14), #7274 North Stafford (Stafford) (34-6), #7940 Stafford (Falmouth) (34-25)
2022 Losses: #162 Highland Springs (56-0), #412 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (20-14), #1030 Patriot (Nokesville) (49-21), #1712 Riverbend (Fredericksburg) (29-0), #2863 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (20-14), #4986 Massaponax (Spotsylvania) (33-21)
2022 Opponents W-L: 94-45
Recent League Championships: 2019, 2018, 2017, 2015 (6A Conference 4), 2012 (tied for 1st; AAA Commonwealth), 2010 (AAA Commonwealth), 2009 (AAA Commonwealth), 2006 (Commonwealth AAA)
Winning Streak Entering 2023 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2023 Schedule: 8/25 Woodbridge, 8/31 at Alexandria City (Alexandria), 9/8 Potomac (Dumfries), 9/14 at Patriot (Nokesville), 9/22 Stafford (Falmouth), 9/29 at Massaponax (Spotsylvania), 10/6 Mountain View (Stafford), 10/13 at Riverbend (Fredericksburg), 10/20 at Brooke Point (Stafford), 11/3 North Stafford (Stafford)
Highest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: Mountain View (Stafford) (17.7), Patriot (Nokesville) (14), Riverbend (Fredericksburg) (10.3)
Lowest-Rated 2023 Regular Season Opponents: North Stafford (Stafford) (-26.7), Stafford (Falmouth) (-26.6), Alexandria City (Alexandria) (-20.3)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.8 (19.6 overall)
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.4
2023 vs. 2022 Schedule Strength Comparison: -22.2
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #29
2023 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2343
2023 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2023 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2023 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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