Lutheran (Orange, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: Rod Sherman
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: none

RETURNERS
Starting Quarterback Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Gabe Morin 5'11" 225 Senior MLB/RB
Rex Barrera 6'3" 225 Senior OLB/RB
Mason Johnson 6'4" 230 Senior DE

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Zack Miller 6'7" 295 Senior OT

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Culture, OL Size/Explosiveness, Improved DL
Team Weaknesses: Must Find QB

RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: 67.8
2021 National Rank: #28
2021 State Rank: #7
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.7
Historical "Reload Factor" Bonus: +6.9
2022 Starting Power Rating: 57.4
2022 National Rank: #49
2022 State Rank: #12
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): 55
Dynasty National Rank: #53
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.4
Dynasty Record: 140-76 [139-77 on the field] (44-49 in league)

HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 10-5
2021 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (5th)
2021 Points For Average: 31.8
2021 Points Against Average: 32.3
2021 Differential: -0.5
2021 Wins: #34 Alemany (Mission Hills) (38-35), #45 Serra [Junipero] (Gardena) (31-20), #48 Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth) (42-40), #110 Edison (Huntington Beach) (23-21), #205 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (9-7), #219 Corona del Mar (Newport Beach) (38-14), #522 Simi Valley (49-13), #736 Damien (La Verne) (41-38), #859 Upland (21-7), #1231 Notre Dame (Sherman Oaks) (42-24)
2021 Losses: #1 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (55-16), #2 Servite (Anaheim) (56-12), #4 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (49-25), #13 Cathedral (San Diego) (71-62), #41 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (35-28)
2021 Opponents W-L: 116-62
Recent Section/State Championships: 2021 (2), 2006 (Pac-5 (I)), 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 8/19 vs Serra [Junipero] (Gardena), 8/26 at Upland, 9/2 vs Edison (Huntington Beach), 9/9 vs Damien (La Verne), 9/16 vs Notre Dame (Sherman Oaks), 9/30 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 10/7 vs Servite (Anaheim), 10/14 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana), 10/21 at St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/28 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano)
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (122), St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (112.8), Servite (Anaheim) (75.4)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Notre Dame (Sherman Oaks) (19.4), Upland (24.4), Damien (La Verne) (32.8)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 58.3 (59.5 overall)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 60.5
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.2
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #5
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2022 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%