Analy (Sebastopol, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Midnight Blue/White
Coach: Daniel Bourdon
League: North Bay - Oak
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 5
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2021 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Sammy Long Senior QB
Logan Mitchell Junior WR/DB
Solomon Hall Senior WR/DB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Veteran Skill Position Players
Team Weaknesses: Line Inexperience

RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: -8.3
2021 National Rank: #7355
2021 State Rank: #508
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
2022 Starting Power Rating: -27.2
2022 National Rank: #7933
2022 State Rank: #564
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): 14.5
Dynasty National Rank: #4321
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 41.7
Dynasty Record: 121-84 [120-85 on the field] (57-47 in league)

HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 4-6
2021 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (5th)
2021 Points For Average: 28.1
2021 Points Against Average: 36.6
2021 Differential: -8.5
2021 Wins: #7663 Santa Rosa (35-34), #9539 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (41-32), #11545 Vallejo (50-0), #12038 Terra Linda (San Rafael) (34-0)
2021 Losses: #1138 San Marin (Novato) (57-20), #1217 Windsor (55-21), #1924 Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park) (63-27), #2906 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (49-14), #5635 Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (38-20), #6475 Ukiah (38-19)
2021 Opponents W-L: 65-48
Recent League Championships: 2017 (Sonoma County), 2016 (Sonoma County), 2015 (Sonoma County), 2014 (Sonoma County), 2013 (Sonoma County), 2012 (Sonoma County)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 8/26 Pinole Valley (Pinole), 9/2 San Marin (Novato), 9/9 Petaluma, 9/16 Terra Linda (San Rafael), 9/30 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa), 10/7 at Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park), 10/14 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa), 10/21 at Santa Rosa, 10/28 Windsor, 11/4 at Montgomery (Santa Rosa)
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: San Marin (Novato) (25.2), Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park) (22.2), Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (6.3)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Terra Linda (San Rafael) (-49), Pinole Valley (Pinole) (-40.8), Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (-40.5)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -0.5
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.1
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: -11.6
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #357
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4235
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2022 Projected League Finish: 5th
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%