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San Pasqual (Escondido, CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Golden Eagles
Colors: Blue/Gold
Coach: Tony Corley
League: Avocado (moving from Valley)
Section: San Diego
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #9
CA Bowl Division: South 1 (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #62

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
2007 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 32.9
2007 National Rank: #1121
2007 State Rank: #98
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -6.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: 26.4
2008 National Rank: #1763
2008 State Rank: #161
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 21.8
Dynasty National Rank: #1630
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 4.6
Dynasty Record: 37-21-2 (18-9-2 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 8-3
2007 League Record/Finish: 5-1 (2nd)
2007 Points For Average: 34.7
2007 Points Against Average: 17.6
2007 Differential: +17.1
2007 Wins: #1299 Valley Center (45-28), #2440 St. Augustine (San Diego) (24-3), #3671 Ramona (28-20), #4382 Torrey Pines (San Diego) (40-17), #5064 Escondido (42-7), #6259 Hoover (San Diego) (62-21), #10427 San Marcos (33-14), #11178 Orange Glen (Escondido) (49-0)
2007 Losses: #311 Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) (37-27), #357 Mission Hills (San Marcos) (13-12), #404 La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (34-20)
2007 Opponents W-L: 63-52
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/5 at Valley Center, 9/12 Rancho Bernardo (San Diego), 9/19 at Orange Glen (Escondido), 9/26 Rancho Buena Vista (Vista), 10/10 at Oceanside, 10/17 Fallbrook, 10/24 at La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad), 10/31 Mission Hills (San Marcos), 11/7 at Torrey Pines (San Diego), 11/14 Escondido
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Oceanside (64), La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (49.9), Mission Hills (San Marcos) (37.4)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Orange Glen (Escondido) (-10), Rancho Bernardo (San Diego) (3.6), Torrey Pines (San Diego) (14.6)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.4 (20.1 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.8
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +13.4
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2008 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/5 at Valley Center [projection: 35-21 loss]



Outlook: A 2nd place finish in the Valley League was capped by a 2nd round loss in the San Diego Section D-II playoffs for San Pasqual High School. This year, a move to the Avocado League and beefier competition is in place. Are the Eagles up to the task? Last year they only gave up a solid 17.6 points per game, but only 2 starters return on defense, David Shatzer at S and Jeremy Garner at DE. The 2007 offense was pretty potent (34.7 points per game) and, well, it'll probably need to be again this year. 5 starters return including QB Eric Bowcock (played WR last year), FB Joel Jernigam, OL Micha Hodges, RB Andrew Nenow, and OL Zach Ayub. Coach Tony Corley knows that early success will be important to build confidence heading into league play. With a 7-3 JV team on the way to fill some of those gaps, a playoff spot is possible, but with Mission Hills and La Costa Canyon (who eliminated San Pasqual in last year's playoffs and should actually be even better this year) a league title may be out of reach.