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El Toro (Lake Forest, CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Chargers
Colors: Blue/Gold
Coach: Jake Haley
League: Sea View
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Southwest (VI)
Playoff Division Rank: #11
CA Bowl Division: South 1 (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #80

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2007 JV Record: 6-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 21
2007 National Rank: #2855
2007 State Rank: #212
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -1
2008 Starting Power Rating: 20
2008 National Rank: #2913
2008 State Rank: #223
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 10.2
Dynasty National Rank: #4307
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 9.8
Dynasty Record: 20-34 (9-16 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 6-6
2007 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (3rd)
2007 Points For Average: 26.8
2007 Points Against Average: 25.7
2007 Differential: +1.1
2007 Wins: #3853 Laguna Hills (31-28), #5804 Huntington Beach (34-22), #5874 Bellflower (41-13), #6990 Corona del Mar (Newport Beach) (20-17), #9707 Northwood (Irvine) (26-7), #11540 Woodbridge (Irvine) (56-20)
2007 Losses: #308 El Dorado (Placentia) (27-9), #496 Tesoro (Rancho Santa Margarita) (17-10), #663 San Clemente (35-14), #736 Trabuco Hills (Mission Viejo) (40-10), #2236 Foothill (Santa Ana) (34-33), #3388 Capistrano Valley (Mission Viejo) (48-38)
2007 Opponents W-L: 76-53-2
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/5 vs Cajon (San Bernardino), 9/12 at Dana Hills (Dana Point), 9/19 at Capistrano Valley (Mission Viejo), 9/26 vs Laguna Hills, 10/3 vs San Clemente, 10/17 at Trabuco Hills (Mission Viejo), 10/24 vs Northwood (Irvine), 10/30 vs Woodbridge (Irvine), 11/7 vs Huntington Beach, 11/14 vs Foothill (Santa Ana)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: San Clemente (35.4), Dana Hills (Dana Point) (31.8), Trabuco Hills (Mission Viejo) (29.8)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Woodbridge (Irvine) (-11.6), Northwood (Irvine) (-3.6), Huntington Beach (7.6)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.7 (19.5 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.3
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.6
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2008 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/5 vs Cajon (San Bernardino) [projection: 31-21 win]



Outlook: For each of the last two seasons, El Toro High School finished 3rd in the Sea View League and qualified for the playoffs. On paper, it appears that this could happen again this fall. The Chargers return QB Sean Kelly and RB Andrew Wellman. Depth will be the biggest problem for El Toro, but an incoming 6-3 JV team should help a little. When asked about his team's strengths, Coach Jake Haley's response was "team speed and team togetherness." The coach also added that he anticipates improving on their 6-6 record from a year ago, but it could be tough to develop this relatively inexperienced team quickly enough this fall to make that a reality (although another playoff spot remains highly possible).