| CALIFORNIA TEAMS WITH THE BEST STATISTICAL CHANCE TO GO UNDEFEATED AND UNTIED IN THE REGULAR SEASON Explanation: Based on their "projection" power ratings (and home field advantage), each team is given a certain percent chance to win each of their known remaining games. These numbers are based on historical data; a team rated 7 points higher than another has won 82% of the time in the past, etc. The individual game percentages are then multiplied together to find the chance of "running the table". Eg: A team with two games remaining, each deemed 50% chances of winning has a 25% chance of winning both (.5 x .5 = .25) Chances of winning for each difference in power ratings: 1 (53%), 2 (57%), 3 (58%), 4 (60%), 5 (61%), 6 (62%), 7 (65%), 8 (72%), 9 (73%), 10 (74%), 11 (75%), 12 (77%), 13 (80%), 14 (81%), 15 (84%), 16 (86%), 17 (87%), 18 (87%), 19 (88%), 20 (88%), 21 (90%), 22 (92%), 23 (93%), 24 (94%), 25 (95%), 26 (95%), 27 (96%), 28 (96%), 29 (97%), 30 (97%), 31 (97%), 32 (98%), 33 (98%), 34 (98%), 35 (98%), 36 and up (99%) Note: "Projection" ratings are the ones we use to project game scores. They are very much like the other ratings seen on this site, except that recent results are weighted more heavily and the "politically correct" moderately-low cutoff point at which margin of victory is no longer counted is eliminated. 6/8/9-man teams must have played two games this season before being included in this chart. Any team playing less than a 6 game regular-season schedule will not be included. Historical ratings of the teams (including head-to-head history) are a very small factor in projections. | ||||||||||||||
| RANK | SCHOOL | SECTION | LEAGUE | CHANCE | RECORD | PROJECTED RECORD | RATING | HIGHEST RATED REMAINING OPPONENT | REMAINING GAMES (Chance Of Winning) | |||||
| 1 | Hughson (CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Trans Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 28.4 | none | none | |||||
| 2 | Hayfork (CA) | Northern | California - Division I (8 Man) | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 34.3 | none | none | |||||
| 3 | McLane (Fresno, CA) | Central | North Yosemite | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 19.4 | none | none | |||||
| 4 | Oak Hills (Hesperia, CA) | Southern | Mojave River | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 57.3 | none | none | |||||
| 5 | Inglewood (CA) | Southern | Bay | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 70.9 | none | none | |||||
| 6 | La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad, CA) | San Diego | Avocado | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 60.7 | none | none | |||||
| 7 | Coalinga (CA) | Central | West Sierra | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 28.8 | none | none | |||||
| 8 | Sherman Oaks CES (Reseda, CA) | Los Angeles | Valley (8 Man) | 100% | 8-0 | 8-0 | -8.3 | none | none | |||||
| 9 | Northview (Covina, CA) | Southern | Valle Vista | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 39 | none | none | |||||
| 10 | Clovis East (Clovis, CA) | Central | Tri-River | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 71.6 | none | none | |||||
| 11 | Holtville (CA) | San Diego | Desert | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 14.9 | none | none | |||||
| 12 | Trinity Classical Academy (Valencia, CA) | Southern | Cottonwood | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | -15.6 | none | none | |||||
| 13 | Mission Viejo (CA) | Southern | Alpha | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 91.8 | none | none | |||||
| 14 | Twelve Bridges (Lincoln, CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Foothill Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 52.5 | none | none | |||||
| 15 | Flintridge Prep (La Canada, CA) | Southern | 8-Man Freelance (8 Man) | 100% | 7-0 | 7-0 | 50.6 | none | none | |||||
| 16 | Carmel (CA) | Central Coast | Pacific Coast - Mission South | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 36.4 | none | none | |||||
| 17 | Hanford (CA) | Central | West Yosemite | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 44.2 | none | none | |||||
| 18 | Sonoma Valley (Sonoma, CA) | North Coast | Redwood Empire - Mountain | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 20.8 | none | none | |||||
| 19 | Willow Glen (San Jose, CA) | Central Coast | Santa Teresa - Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 11.9 | none | none | |||||
| 20 | Gunn [Henry M.] (Palo Alto, CA) | Central Coast | Peninsula - Lake | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | -18.4 | none | none | |||||
| 21 | Bonita (La Verne, CA) | Southern | Sierra | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 51.9 | none | none | |||||
| 22 | North Hollywood (CA) | Los Angeles | East Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | -9.4 | none | none | |||||
| 23 | De La Salle (Concord, CA) | North Coast | East Bay - Mountain | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 82.5 | none | none | |||||
| 24 | Laton (CA) | Central | East Sierra (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 4.5 | none | none | |||||
| 25 | Winters (CA) | Northern | Sacramento Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 17.5 | none | none | |||||
| 26 | Brea Olinda (Brea, CA) | Southern | Kappa | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 31.1 | none | none | |||||
| 27 | Bradshaw Christian (Sacramento, CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Sierra Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 39.8 | none | none | |||||
| 28 | Ramona (Riverside, CA) | Southern | River Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 14.2 | none | none | |||||
| 29 | Cate (Carpinteria, CA) | Southern | Tri-Valley (8 Man) | 100% | 8-0 | 8-0 | 42.1 | none | none | |||||
| 30 | Rodriguez (Fairfield, CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Monticello Empire | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 23.8 | none | none | |||||
| 31 | Newbury Park (CA) | Southern | Conejo Coast | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 75.5 | none | none | |||||
| 32 | Mater Dei (Santa Ana, CA) | Southern | Trinity | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 114.5 | none | none | |||||
| 33 | California School for the Deaf (Riverside, CA) | Southern | 8-Man Freelance (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 57.2 | none | none | |||||
| 34 | Los Amigos (Fountain Valley, CA) | Southern | Sigma | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | -3.1 | none | none | |||||
| 35 | Stuart Hall (San Francisco, CA) | North Coast | North Central II (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 41.2 | none | none | |||||