2024 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2023 data


State8/98/168/238/309/69/139/209/27TOTALS
Alabama  125-40
(75.8%)
121-43
(73.8%)
156-27
(85.2%)
161-23
(87.5%)
167-26
(86.5%)
115-24
(82.7%)
845-183
(82.2%)
Alaska 6-3
(66.7%)
6-4
(60%)
8-5
(61.5%)
6-4
(60%)
11-0
(100%)
7-4
(63.6%)
 44-20
(68.8%)
Arizona  24-5
(82.8%)
72-27
(72.7%)
78-21
(78.8%)
89-16
(84.8%)
86-19
(81.9%)
67-11
(85.9%)
416-99
(80.8%)
Arkansas   48-13
(78.7%)
40-24
(62.5%)
66-10
(86.8%)
31-9
(77.5%)
51-14
(78.5%)
236-70
(77.1%)
California 4-2
(66.7%)
264-99
(72.7%)
376-89
(80.9%)
363-107
(77.2%)
339-93
(78.5%)
365-88
(80.6%)
197-37
(84.2%)
1908-515
(78.7%)
Colorado  22-5
(81.5%)
65-15
(81.3%)
61-21
(74.4%)
69-17
(80.2%)
69-19
(78.4%)
53-11
(82.8%)
339-88
(79.4%)
Connecticut     28-17
(62.2%)
39-11
(78%)
22-8
(73.3%)
89-36
(71.2%)
Delaware   7-3
(70%)
10-3
(76.9%)
15-4
(78.9%)
18-2
(90%)
6-4
(60%)
56-16
(77.8%)
District of Columbia   8-0
(100%)
9-3
(75%)
9-0
(100%)
3-4
(42.9%)
3-0
(100%)
32-7
(82.1%)
Florida  172-74
(69.9%)
178-64
(73.6%)
188-54
(77.7%)
200-46
(81.3%)
190-48
(79.8%)
85-19
(81.7%)
1013-305
(76.9%)
Georgia 137-62
(68.8%)
155-47
(76.7%)
150-38
(79.8%)
145-29
(83.3%)
147-32
(82.1%)
166-20
(89.2%)
30-5
(85.7%)
930-233
(80%)
Hawaii10-1
(90.9%)
11-3
(78.6%)
8-5
(61.5%)
8-2
(80%)
10-6
(62.5%)
17-3
(85%)
18-2
(90%)
0-1
(0%)
82-23
(78.1%)
Idaho  12-5
(70.6%)
30-10
(75%)
33-10
(76.7%)
41-9
(82%)
34-11
(75.6%)
32-3
(91.4%)
182-48
(79.1%)
Illinois   130-47
(73.4%)
152-32
(82.6%)
203-51
(79.9%)
221-31
(87.7%)
154-31
(83.2%)
860-192
(81.7%)
Indiana  111-39
(74%)
100-34
(74.6%)
133-28
(82.6%)
135-26
(83.9%)
137-21
(86.7%)
75-18
(80.6%)
691-166
(80.6%)
Iowa   56-26
(68.3%)
57-25
(69.5%)
96-32
(75%)
103-24
(81.1%)
81-21
(79.4%)
393-128
(75.4%)
Kansas    73-25
(74.5%)
77-23
(77%)
96-16
(85.7%)
82-9
(90.1%)
328-73
(81.8%)
Kentucky  70-18
(79.5%)
65-18
(78.3%)
82-21
(79.6%)
80-20
(80%)
78-19
(80.4%)
45-12
(78.9%)
420-108
(79.5%)
Louisiana   1-0
(100%)
80-24
(76.9%)
69-21
(76.7%)
100-28
(78.1%)
94-17
(84.7%)
344-90
(79.3%)
Maine    8-2
(80%)
11-3
(78.6%)
17-8
(68%)
15-3
(83.3%)
51-16
(76.1%)
Maryland   7-3
(70%)
74-22
(77.1%)
69-22
(75.8%)
94-19
(83.2%)
55-16
(77.5%)
299-82
(78.5%)
Massachusetts    47-23
(67.1%)
74-23
(76.3%)
68-32
(68%)
60-14
(81.1%)
249-92
(73%)
Michigan   111-52
(68.1%)
136-34
(80%)
190-48
(79.8%)
194-48
(80.2%)
168-32
(84%)
799-214
(78.9%)
Minnesota  0-1
(0%)
56-26
(68.3%)
64-17
(79%)
98-37
(72.6%)
105-30
(77.8%)
91-20
(82%)
414-131
(76%)
Mississippi 7-1
(87.5%)
17-2
(89.5%)
75-41
(64.7%)
96-23
(80.7%)
103-22
(82.4%)
95-33
(74.2%)
79-24
(76.7%)
472-146
(76.4%)
Missouri   85-29
(74.6%)
89-25
(78.1%)
107-30
(78.1%)
114-24
(82.6%)
87-22
(79.8%)
482-130
(78.8%)
Montana   18-6
(75%)
20-3
(87%)
28-3
(90.3%)
25-6
(80.6%)
28-2
(93.3%)
119-20
(85.6%)
Nebraska   45-12
(78.9%)
41-13
(75.9%)
56-10
(84.8%)
56-9
(86.2%)
47-7
(87%)
245-51
(82.8%)
Nevada 16-3
(84.2%)
31-11
(73.8%)
30-10
(75%)
26-8
(76.5%)
21-11
(65.6%)
27-7
(79.4%)
22-3
(88%)
173-53
(76.5%)
New Hampshire    12-1
(92.3%)
9-6
(60%)
20-1
(95.2%)
13-3
(81.3%)
54-11
(83.1%)
New Jersey   67-31
(68.4%)
97-49
(66.4%)
133-27
(83.1%)
135-29
(82.3%)
94-27
(77.7%)
526-163
(76.3%)
New Mexico  26-7
(78.8%)
29-10
(74.4%)
33-9
(78.6%)
35-8
(81.4%)
35-6
(85.4%)
27-2
(93.1%)
185-42
(81.5%)
New York   7-3
(70%)
58-35
(62.4%)
115-29
(79.9%)
172-39
(81.5%)
62-19
(76.5%)
414-125
(76.8%)
North Carolina 1-0
(100%)
145-41
(78%)
86-30
(74.1%)
157-41
(79.3%)
102-18
(85%)
145-32
(81.9%)
14-0
(100%)
650-162
(80%)
North Dakota  3-1
(75%)
7-1
(87.5%)
17-4
(81%)
20-5
(80%)
18-7
(72%)
17-9
(65.4%)
82-27
(75.2%)
Ohio  236-80
(74.7%)
236-87
(73.1%)
280-75
(78.9%)
299-59
(83.5%)
297-60
(83.2%)
255-44
(85.3%)
1603-405
(79.8%)
Oklahoma   37-10
(78.7%)
77-27
(74%)
75-29
(72.1%)
58-19
(75.3%)
84-9
(90.3%)
331-94
(77.9%)
Oregon   1-0
(100%)
37-13
(74%)
42-10
(80.8%)
50-13
(79.4%)
29-10
(74.4%)
159-46
(77.6%)
Pennsylvania  161-59
(73.2%)
159-65
(71%)
212-48
(81.5%)
209-53
(79.8%)
220-51
(81.2%)
206-40
(83.7%)
1167-316
(78.7%)
Rhode Island   1-1
(50%)
2-0
(100%)
7-6
(53.8%)
10-5
(66.7%)
9-4
(69.2%)
29-16
(64.4%)
South Carolina 5-2
(71.4%)
73-30
(70.9%)
79-24
(76.7%)
91-26
(77.8%)
56-16
(77.8%)
82-26
(75.9%)
10-0
(100%)
396-124
(76.2%)
South Dakota  7-1
(87.5%)
14-7
(66.7%)
21-3
(87.5%)
22-6
(78.6%)
21-6
(77.8%)
25-3
(89.3%)
110-26
(80.9%)
Tennessee  94-42
(69.1%)
98-33
(74.8%)
129-36
(78.2%)
138-21
(86.8%)
133-25
(84.2%)
99-16
(86.1%)
691-173
(80%)
Texas   379-145
(72.3%)
376-155
(70.8%)
467-109
(81.1%)
424-100
(80.9%)
386-75
(83.7%)
2032-584
(77.7%)
Utah 34-17
(66.7%)
39-12
(76.5%)
44-11
(80%)
42-9
(82.4%)
46-8
(85.2%)
43-10
(81.1%)
40-11
(78.4%)
288-78
(78.7%)
Vermont   4-3
(57.1%)
4-2
(66.7%)
11-3
(78.6%)
14-1
(93.3%)
5-2
(71.4%)
38-11
(77.6%)
Virginia  1-0
(100%)
88-36
(71%)
111-23
(82.8%)
116-32
(78.4%)
130-25
(83.9%)
78-12
(86.7%)
524-128
(80.4%)
Washington    74-36
(67.3%)
88-20
(81.5%)
104-32
(76.5%)
69-17
(80.2%)
335-105
(76.1%)
West Virginia   36-11
(76.6%)
43-7
(86%)
44-7
(86.3%)
43-6
(87.8%)
26-8
(76.5%)
192-39
(83.1%)
Wisconsin  89-28
(76.1%)
83-28
(74.8%)
143-21
(87.2%)
132-31
(81%)
139-23
(85.8%)
122-21
(85.3%)
708-152
(82.3%)
Wyoming   9-3
(75%)
15-3
(83.3%)
11-6
(64.7%)
16-3
(84.2%)
14-3
(82.4%)
65-18
(78.3%)
Prep Schools   2-2
(50%)
8-2
(80%)
15-4
(78.9%)
24-8
(75%)
3-0
(100%)
52-16
(76.5%)
 
NATIONAL10-1
(90.9%)
213-89
(70.5%)
1825-629
(74.4%)
3184-1108
(74.2%)
4171-1218
(77.4%)
4675-1141
(80.4%)
4953-1123
(81.5%)
3475-714
(83%)
22506-6023
(78.9%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  64.8%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)

out-of-state: 78.6% (in 856 games)