| CALIFORNIA TEAMS WITH THE BEST STATISTICAL CHANCE TO GO UNDEFEATED AND UNTIED IN THE REGULAR SEASON Explanation: Based on their "projection" power ratings (and home field advantage), each team is given a certain percent chance to win each of their known remaining games. These numbers are based on historical data; a team rated 7 points higher than another has won 82% of the time in the past, etc. The individual game percentages are then multiplied together to find the chance of "running the table". Eg: A team with two games remaining, each deemed 50% chances of winning has a 25% chance of winning both (.5 x .5 = .25) Chances of winning for each difference in power ratings: 1 (54%), 2 (58%), 3 (62%), 4 (68%), 5 (74%), 6 (80%), 7 (82%), 8 (84%), 9 (85%), 10 (86%), 11 (87%), 12 (88%), 13 (89%), 14 (90%), 15 (91%), 16 (92%), 17 (93%), 18 (94%), 19 (95%), 20 (96%), 21 (97%), 22 (98%), 23 and up (99%) Note: "Projection" ratings are the ones we use to project game scores. They are very much like the other ratings seen on this site, except that recent results are weighted more heavily and the "politically correct" moderately-low cutoff point at which margin of victory is no longer counted is eliminated. 6/8/9-man teams must have played two games this season before being included in this chart. Historical ratings of the teams (including head-to-head history) are a very small factor in projections. | ||||||||||||||
| RANK | SCHOOL | SECTION | LEAGUE | CHANCE | RECORD | PROJECTED RECORD | RATING | HIGHEST RATED REMAINING OPPONENT | REMAINING GAMES (Chance Of Winning) | |||||
| 1 | Western Christian (Upland, CA) | Southern | Ambassador | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 7.6 | none | none | |||||
| 2 | San Fernando (CA) | Los Angeles | Valley Mission | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 18.6 | none | none | |||||
| 3 | San Gorgonio (San Bernardino, CA) | Southern | San Andreas | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 34.2 | none | none | |||||
| 4 | Norwalk (CA) | Southern | Suburban | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 37.2 | none | none | |||||
| 5 | St. John Bosco (Bellflower, CA) | Southern | Trinity | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 86.3 | none | none | |||||
| 6 | Mission Oak (Tulare, CA) | Central | East Yosemite | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 36.9 | none | none | |||||
| 7 | Woodside Priory (Portola Valley, CA) | Central Coast | Mission Trail (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 20 | none | none | |||||
| 8 | Le Grand (CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Southern | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 10.1 | none | none | |||||
| 9 | Mendocino (CA) | North Coast | North Central III (8 Man) | 100% | 7-0 | 7-0 | 34.1 | none | none | |||||
| 10 | Parker [Francis] (San Diego, CA) | San Diego | Coastal | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 25.7 | none | none | |||||
| 11 | Alvarez [Everett] (Salinas, CA) | Central Coast | Monterey Bay - Pacific | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 9.5 | none | none | |||||
| 12 | Corona del Mar (Newport Beach, CA) | Southern | Pacific Coast | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 41 | none | none | |||||
| 13 | Marin Catholic (Kentfield, CA) | North Coast | Marin County | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 43.7 | none | none | |||||
| 14 | Enterprise (Redding, CA) | Northern | Eastern | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 48.5 | none | none | |||||
| 15 | Mission Viejo (CA) | Southern | South Coast | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 67.3 | none | none | |||||
| 16 | Mojave (CA) | Southern | 8-Man Freelance (8 Man) | 100% | 8-0 | 8-0 | 51.3 | none | none | |||||
| 17 | Carmel (CA) | Central Coast | Mission Trail | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 17 | none | none | |||||
| 18 | Yorba Linda (CA) | Southern | Empire | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 25.4 | none | none | |||||
| 19 | Garden Grove (CA) | Southern | Garden Grove | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 22.5 | none | none | |||||
| 20 | Desert Chapel (Palm Springs, CA) | Southern | Majestic (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 45.9 | none | none | |||||
| 21 | View Park (Los Angeles, CA) | Los Angeles | Metro | 100% | 8-0 | 8-0 | 5.7 | none | none | |||||
| 22 | Imperial (CA) | San Diego | Imperial Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 30 | none | none | |||||
| 23 | Burlingame (CA) | Central Coast | Peninsula - Ocean | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 19.5 | none | none | |||||
| 24 | De La Salle (Concord, CA) | North Coast | Freelance | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 73.9 | none | none | |||||
| 25 | Casa Grande (Petaluma, CA) | North Coast | North Bay | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 38.5 | none | none | |||||
| 26 | Folsom (CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Delta River | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 66.6 | none | none | |||||
| 27 | Lucerne Valley (CA) | Southern | Agape (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 40.3 | none | none | |||||
| 28 | Serra [Junipero] (Gardena, CA) | Southern | Mission | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 62.5 | none | none | |||||
| 29 | Dunsmuir (CA) | Northern | California - North (8 Man) | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 29.9 | none | none | |||||
| 30 | Crawford (San Diego, CA) | San Diego | Manzanita | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | -3.9 | none | none | |||||
| 31 | Campolindo (Moraga, CA) | North Coast | Diablo Foothill | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 40 | none | none | |||||
| 32 | Noli Indian (San Jacinto, CA) | Southern | Warrior (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 20.4 | none | none | |||||
| 33 | Eagle Rock (Los Angeles, CA) | Los Angeles | Northern | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 12.4 | none | none | |||||
| 34 | Terra Nova (Pacifica, CA) | Central Coast | Peninsula - Bay | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 39 | none | none | |||||
| 35 | Hilmar (CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Trans Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 25 | none | none | |||||