| NATIONAL TOP 12 TEAMS (updated immediately after games) 1) Mater Dei (Santa Ana, CA) 10-0, 102 2) Bishop Gorman (Las Vegas, NV) 10-1, 87.4 3) St. John Bosco (Bellflower, CA) 10-1, 86.7 4) Orange Lutheran (Orange, CA) 8-3, 84.4 5) Centennial (Corona, CA) 9-2, 83.3 6) Duncanville (TX) 10-0, 80.8 7) St. Frances Academy (Baltimore, MD) 7-3, 80.1 8) Mission Viejo (CA) 10-1, 77.5 9) North Crowley (Fort Worth, TX) 11-0, 75.9 10) Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth, CA) 8-4, 75.1 11) Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita, CA) 5-7, 74.7 12) Archbishop Spalding (Severn, MD) 12-0, 72.2 ratings rounded to nearest tenth gaps between bunches of teams indicate clear breaks of 4+ points current mythical national title contenders states represented: CA (7), MD (2), TX (2), NV With projection ratings (right column), recent results are weighted more heavily and the "politically correct" moderately-low cutoff point at which margin of victory is no longer counted is eliminated. Standard ratings acknowledge to-date success ("resume"); with projection ratings, the goal is to accurately predict future outcomes. For states/sections using ratings to determine playoff teams, it is recommended that standard ratings be used for selection (determining who is in), and projection ratings be used for seeding the teams that make it in. | NATIONAL TOP 12 TEAMS BY PROJECTION RATINGS 1) Mater Dei (Santa Ana, CA) 10-0, 112.8 2) Centennial (Corona, CA) 9-2, 95.8 3) St. Frances Academy (Baltimore, MD) 7-3, 95.1 4) Orange Lutheran (Orange, CA) 8-3, 92.9 5) Duncanville (TX) 10-0, 92.8 6) St. John Bosco (Bellflower, CA) 10-1, 91.4 7) Bishop Gorman (Las Vegas, NV) 10-1, 90.9 8) Mission Viejo (CA) 10-1, 90.2 9) North Crowley (Fort Worth, TX) 11-0, 88.2 10) Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita, CA) 5-7, 86.3 11) DeSoto (TX) 9-2, 86.1 12) Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth, CA) 8-4, 85.3 ratings rounded to nearest tenth gaps between bunches of teams indicate clear breaks of 4+ points current best teams nationally states represented: CA (7), TX (3), NV, MD |
| CALIFORNIA TOP 10 TEAMS (resume) 1) Mater Dei (Santa Ana, CA) 10-0, 102 2) St. John Bosco (Bellflower, CA) 10-1, 86.7 3) Orange Lutheran (Orange, CA) 8-3, 84.4 4) Centennial (Corona, CA) 9-2, 83.3 5) Mission Viejo (CA) 10-1, 77.5 6) Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth, CA) 8-4, 75.1 7) Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita, CA) 5-7, 74.7 8) JSerra (San Juan Capistrano, CA) 6-5, 71.3 9) De La Salle (Concord, CA) 11-0, 67.9 10) Newbury Park (CA) 12-0, 64.1 ratings rounded to nearest tenth gaps between bunches of teams indicate clear breaks of 4+ points | CALIFORNIA TOP 10 TEAMS (predictive) 1) Mater Dei (Santa Ana, CA) 10-0, 112.8 2) Centennial (Corona, CA) 9-2, 95.8 3) Orange Lutheran (Orange, CA) 8-3, 92.9 4) St. John Bosco (Bellflower, CA) 10-1, 91.4 5) Mission Viejo (CA) 10-1, 90.2 6) Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita, CA) 5-7, 86.3 7) Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth, CA) 8-4, 85.3 8) JSerra (San Juan Capistrano, CA) 6-5, 79.1 9) De La Salle (Concord, CA) 11-0, 78.4 10) Folsom (CA) 10-1, 76.5 ratings rounded to nearest tenth gaps between bunches of teams indicate clear breaks of 4+ points resume and predictive top 10s for Texas, Florida and Georgia |