Santa Rosa (CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Black/Orange
Coach: Roy Keegan
League: North Bay - Oak (moving from North Bay - Redwood)
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 3
Playoff Division Rank: #13

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2021 JV Record: 6-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Nolan Frost 6'4" 180 Senior WR/S
Adan Lemus 5'11" 185 Junior LB/RB
Talon Patrick 5'11" 170 Junior LB/WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: WR Speed/Height
Team Weaknesses: Majority Of OL Graduated, Inexperience

RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: -9.8
2021 National Rank: #7663
2021 State Rank: #533
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5
2022 Starting Power Rating: -28.4
2022 National Rank: #8163
2022 State Rank: #575
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): -2
Dynasty National Rank: #9197
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 26.4
Dynasty Record: 56-130 (29-87 in league)

HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 6-4
2021 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (tied for 1st)
2021 Points For Average: 28
2021 Points Against Average: 20.3
2021 Differential: +7.7
2021 Wins: #5635 Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (28-14), #9144 San Rafael (34-7), #9539 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (29-22), #12038 Terra Linda (San Rafael) (32-8), #12055 Piner (Santa Rosa) (48-7), #12241 Healdsburg (42-0)
2021 Losses: #3856 St. Vincent (Petaluma) (42-6), #4542 Casa Grande (Petaluma) (42-7), #6998 Petaluma (26-20), #7355 West County (Sebastopol) (35-34)
2021 Opponents W-L: 47-56
Recent League Championships: 2021 (tied for 1st; North Bay - Redwood), 2019 (North Bay - Redwood)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 8/26 San Rafael, 9/1 at Petaluma, 9/9 Williams [Archie] (San Anselmo), 9/16 Ukiah, 9/23 at Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa), 10/7 Windsor, 10/14 at Montgomery (Santa Rosa), 10/21 Analy (Sebastopol), 10/28 at Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa), 11/4 at Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park)
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park) (22.2), Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (6.3), Windsor (3.7)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (-40.5), San Rafael (-36.5), Analy (Sebastopol) (-27.2)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -14.6
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -12.4
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.2
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #361
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4307
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2022 Projected League Finish: 6th
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%