Ponderosa (Parker, CO)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Cardinal/Gold
Coach: Jaron Cohen
League: 5A/4A League 5 (moving from 4A Southern 1)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #12

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2021 JV Record: 8-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Ethan Rodriguez 6'0" 180 Senior LB/RB
Max Mervin 6'0" 170 Sophomore WR/S
Zach Stryker 6'1" 190 Senior QB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Position Depth, Defensive Speed
Team Weaknesses: Line Inexperience

RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: 15.2
2021 National Rank: #2863
2021 State Rank: #36
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.5
2022 Starting Power Rating: -7.9
2022 National Rank: #4289
2022 State Rank: #55
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): 24.1
Dynasty National Rank: #2131
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 32
Dynasty Record: 136-72 (82-32 in league)

HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 7-5
2021 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (4th)
2021 Points For Average: 28.3
2021 Points Against Average: 19.3
2021 Differential: +9
2021 Wins: #3154 Fort Collins (35-33), #3927 Chaparral (Parker) (37-21), #6432 Standley Lake (Westminster) (50-20), #6595 Vista PEAK Prep (Aurora) (21-0), #6680 Aurora Central (Aurora) (29-14), #7898 Heritage (Littleton) (57-0), #10621 Air Academy (US Air Force Academy) (60-7)
2021 Losses: #589 Legend (Parker) (42-0), #709 Chatfield (Littleton) (31-9), #780 Montrose (19-7), #1273 Palmer Ridge (Monument) (35-28), #2960 Vista Ridge (Colorado Springs) (10-7)
2021 Opponents W-L: 87-50
Recent State Championships: 2003 (5A)
Recent League Championships: 2020 (4A Western Slope), 2019 (4A Metro), 2018 (4A Metro), 2016 (4A Foothills), 2014 (tied for 1st; 4A Plains), 2012 (4A Pikes Peak), 2009 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (tied for 1st; 5A Continental National)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 8/26 Erie, 9/2 at Chaparral (Parker), 9/10 Golden, 9/16 at Legend (Parker), 9/23 at Palmer Ridge (Monument), 9/29 Denver South (Denver), 10/7 Vista PEAK Prep (Aurora), 10/14 Far Northeast Warriors (Denver), 10/21 Jefferson [Thomas] (Denver), 10/27 Bear Creek (Lakewood)
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Erie (28.5), Palmer Ridge (Monument) (16.3), Legend (Parker) (8.1)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Far Northeast Warriors (Denver) (-36.1), Vista PEAK Prep (Aurora) (-35.8), Jefferson [Thomas] (Denver) (-35.3)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.6 (11.1 overall)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -9.5
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: -24.1
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #32
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3613
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2022 Projected League Finish: 1st
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%