Kinkaid (Houston, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Nathan Larned
League: Southwest Prep 4A
Playoff Division: Southwest Prep 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes

D1 PROSPECT
Micah Bell 5'11" 170 Senior CB

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Dillon Bell 6'2" 205 Senior WR

RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: 44.2
2021 National Rank: #343
2021 State Rank: #62
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.8
2022 Starting Power Rating: 31.8
2022 National Rank: #352
2022 State Rank: #59
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): 34.1
Dynasty National Rank: #826
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.3
Dynasty Record: 135-54-1 (68-29-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 9-2
2021 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2021 Points For Average: 40.2
2021 Points Against Average: 23.5
2021 Differential: +16.7
2021 Wins: #459 Episcopal (Dallas) (42-17), #924 Second Baptist (Houston) (21-14), #1081 St. John's (Houston) (34-24), #2318 St. Thomas (Houston) (48-41), #2353 Episcopal (Bellaire) (31-24), #3458 St. Mark's (Dallas) (64-27), #5153 Legacy School of Sport Sciences (Spring) (59-12), #6345 Houston Christian (Houston) (46-14), #7525 St. John XXIII (Katy) (56-6)
2021 Losses: #459 Episcopal (Dallas) (31-21), #529 Little Cypress-Mauriceville (Orange) (49-20)
2021 Opponents W-L: 74-45
Recent State Championships: 2021, 2018, 2017, 2015 (Southwest Prep Large), 2013 (Southwest Prep Large), 2010 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwestern Prep I)
Recent League Championships: 2020, 2018, 2013 (Southwest Prep - South), 2012 (tied for 1st; Southwest Prep - South), 2011 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwest Preparatory I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: 4
Streak List: 10/15/21 Episcopal (Bellaire) (31-24), 10/22/21 Houston Christian (Houston) (46-14), 10/29/21 St. John's (Houston) (34-24), 11/6/21 Episcopal (Dallas) (42-17)

SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 8/26 at Jasper, 9/2 at Tomball Christian HomeSchool (Tomball), 9/9 at Archbishop Shaw (Marrero, LA), 9/16 Little Cypress-Mauriceville (Orange), 9/23 Second Baptist (Houston), 9/30 at St. Thomas (Houston), 10/7 at St. Mark's (Dallas), 10/14 Episcopal (Dallas), 10/21 Episcopal (Bellaire), 10/28 St. John's (Houston)
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Jasper (27), Episcopal (Dallas) (26.1), Little Cypress-Mauriceville (Orange) (25.3)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Tomball Christian HomeSchool (Tomball) (-19.3), Archbishop Shaw (Marrero, LA) (-6.1), St. Thomas (Houston) (-3.1)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.4 (23.3 overall)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.3
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: -14.1
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #167
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #833
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2022 Projected League Finish: 4th
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 35%