Florence-Carlton (Florence, MT)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Pat Duchien
League: B - Western (moving from B - West)
Playoff Division: B
Playoff Division Rank: #1

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2021 JV Record: 7-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Patrick Duchien 6'2" 210 Senior QB/SS 4.85
Colten Rice 6'1" 190 Senior RB/DE 4.79
Ethan Alexander 6'3" 205 Junior TE/DE 4.95

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Strength, Speed
Team Weaknesses: Only 10 Returning Starters, Youth

RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: 33.5
2021 National Rank: #862
2021 State Rank: #1
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.2
2022 Starting Power Rating: 22.5
2022 National Rank: #773
2022 State Rank: #1
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): 0.9
Dynasty National Rank: #8355
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 21.6
Dynasty Record: 99-70 (46-38 in league)

HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 10-0
2021 League Record/Finish: 3-0 (2nd)
2021 Points For Average: 41.6
2021 Points Against Average: 4.6
2021 Differential: +37
2021 Wins: #3034 Bigfork (42-0), #3490 Broadwater (Townsend) (20-14), #3719 Columbus (28-8), #4384 Jefferson (Boulder) (51-7), #7947 Whitehall/Harrison (Whitehall) (54-7), #8526 Loyola-Sacred Heart (Missoula) (45-7), #8560 Manhattan/Manhattan Christian (Manhattan) (52-0), #9641 Three Forks/Willow Creek (Three Forks) (43-0), #10226 Cut Bank (37-0), #12651 Anaconda (44-3)
2021 Losses: none
2021 Opponents W-L: 46-51
Recent State Championships: 2021
Recent League Championships: 2020, 2011 (tied for 1st; Western 6B), 2010 (tied for 1st; Western 6B), 2004 (tied for 1st; B Western 7B)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: 10
Streak List: 9/3/21 Manhattan/Manhattan Christian (Manhattan) (52-0), 9/10/21 Three Forks/Willow Creek (Three Forks) (43-0), 9/18/21 Broadwater (Townsend) (20-14), 9/24/21 Anaconda (44-3), 10/8/21 Loyola-Sacred Heart (Missoula) (45-7), 10/15/21 Whitehall/Harrison (Whitehall) (54-7), 10/30/21 Cut Bank (37-0), 11/6/21 Columbus (28-8), 11/13/21 Jefferson (Boulder) (51-7), 11/20/21 Bigfork (42-0)

SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 8/26 vs Manhattan/Manhattan Christian (Manhattan), 9/2 at Broadwater (Townsend), 9/9 vs Cut Bank, 9/16 Jefferson (Boulder), 9/23 at Lincoln County (Eureka), 9/30 Thompson Falls, 10/7 Anaconda, 10/14 at Bigfork, 10/21 at Loyola-Sacred Heart (Missoula)
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Lincoln County (Eureka) (-0.2), Broadwater (Townsend) (-4.4), Jefferson (Boulder) (-14.2)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Anaconda (-52.8), Cut Bank (-37.5), Loyola-Sacred Heart (Missoula) (-31.1)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -9.3 (-4.2 overall)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.3
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: -11
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #9
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6577
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-0
2022 Projected League Finish: 1st
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 89%