Churchill (Eugene, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Blue/Red
Coach: Kirk Miller
League: 5A Special District 2 (moving from 5A Special District 4)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #18

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2021 JV Record: 6-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Pete Pennington Senior TE
Brady Bidwell WR/DB
Tyler Mikel Junior QB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience Playing Together, Talented Young QB, WR Depth
Team Weaknesses: Line Inexperience

RATINGS
2021 Final Power Rating: -6.8
2021 National Rank: #7034
2021 State Rank: #57
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -7.5
2022 Starting Power Rating: -26.1
2022 National Rank: #7707
2022 State Rank: #71
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): 6.7
Dynasty National Rank: #6611
2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 32.8
Dynasty Record: 103-83 (64-49 in league)

HISTORICAL
2021 Overall Record: 5-5
2021 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (3rd)
2021 Points For Average: 26.8
2021 Points Against Average: 24.6
2021 Differential: +2.2
2021 Wins: #7477 Eagle Point (35-28), #9910 Springfield (22-10), #11026 North Bend (51-0), #11337 Willamette (Eugene) (35-0), #12380 Ashland (32-0)
2021 Losses: #878 Marshfield (Coos Bay) (57-6), #2218 Thurston (Springfield) (42-32), #2887 Wilsonville (42-14), #4997 Sprague (Salem) (52-28), #6548 Crater (Central Point) (15-13)
2021 Opponents W-L: 57-42
Recent League Championships: 2018 (5A Special District 2 South), 2017 (5A Midwestern), 2006 (5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2022 Schedule: 9/2 at Marist (Eugene), 9/9 Mountain View (Bend), 9/16 at Eagle Point, 9/23 Willamette (Eugene), 9/30 at South Eugene (Eugene), 10/7 at Springfield, 10/14 North Eugene (Eugene), 10/21 Crater (Central Point), 10/28 at Thurston (Springfield)
Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Marist (Eugene) (0.8), Thurston (Springfield) (-1.6), Crater (Central Point) (-10.4)
Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Willamette (Eugene) (-44.2), Springfield (-35.7), South Eugene (Eugene) (-31.8)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5 (-3.8 overall)
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.1
2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: -15.1
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #40
2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6516
2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-6
2022 Projected League Finish: 5th
2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%