Churchill (Eugene, OR) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lancers Colors: Blue/Red Coach: Kirk Miller League: 5A Special District 2 (moving from 5A Special District 4) Playoff Division: 5A Playoff Division Rank: #18 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 4 Returning Defensive Starters: 5 2021 JV Record: 6-2 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Pete Pennington Senior TE Brady Bidwell WR/DB Tyler Mikel Junior QB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Experience Playing Together, Talented Young QB, WR Depth Team Weaknesses: Line Inexperience RATINGS 2021 Final Power Rating: -6.8 2021 National Rank: #7034 2021 State Rank: #57 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -7.5 2022 Starting Power Rating: -26.1 2022 National Rank: #7707 2022 State Rank: #71 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2021 Rating): 6.7 Dynasty National Rank: #6611 2022 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 32.8 Dynasty Record: 103-83 (64-49 in league) HISTORICAL 2021 Overall Record: 5-5 2021 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (3rd) 2021 Points For Average: 26.8 2021 Points Against Average: 24.6 2021 Differential: +2.2 2021 Wins: #7477 Eagle Point (35-28), #9910 Springfield (22-10), #11026 North Bend (51-0), #11337 Willamette (Eugene) (35-0), #12380 Ashland (32-0) 2021 Losses: #878 Marshfield (Coos Bay) (57-6), #2218 Thurston (Springfield) (42-32), #2887 Wilsonville (42-14), #4997 Sprague (Salem) (52-28), #6548 Crater (Central Point) (15-13) 2021 Opponents W-L: 57-42 Recent League Championships: 2018 (5A Special District 2 South), 2017 (5A Midwestern), 2006 (5A Midwestern) Winning Streak Entering 2022 Season: none SCHEDULE 2022 Schedule: 9/2 at Marist (Eugene), 9/9 Mountain View (Bend), 9/16 at Eagle Point, 9/23 Willamette (Eugene), 9/30 at South Eugene (Eugene), 10/7 at Springfield, 10/14 North Eugene (Eugene), 10/21 Crater (Central Point), 10/28 at Thurston (Springfield) Highest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Marist (Eugene) (0.8), Thurston (Springfield) (-1.6), Crater (Central Point) (-10.4) Lowest-Rated 2022 Regular Season Opponents: Willamette (Eugene) (-44.2), Springfield (-35.7), South Eugene (Eugene) (-31.8) 2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5 (-3.8 overall) 2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -20.1 2022 vs. 2021 Schedule Strength Comparison: -15.1 2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #40 2022 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6516 2022 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-6 2022 Projected League Finish: 5th 2022 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |