AVOCADO #1  >>

Carlsbad (CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Purple/White
Coach: Thadd MacNeal
League: Avocado
Section: San Diego
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #2

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2020 JV Record: 4-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Josh Davis 6'2" 180 Senior WR/DB 4.54
Anthony Ferrelli 6'1" 220 Senior LB 4.73
Matt Moore 5'9" 175 WR/DB 4.42

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Defensive Experience, Elite QB
Team Weaknesses: Major Graduation Losses, Replacing 3 OL Starters

RATINGS
2020 Final Power Rating: 57.6
2020 National Rank: #73
2020 State Rank: #6
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.2
2021 Starting Power Rating: 53.4
2021 National Rank: #65
2021 State Rank: #9
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2020 Rating): 40
Dynasty National Rank: #434
2021 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 13.4
Dynasty Record: 120-80-2 [124-76-2 on the field] (50-33-2 in league)

HISTORICAL
2020 Overall Record: 5-0
2020 League Record/Finish: 4-0 (tied for 1st)
2020 Points For Average: 46.6
2020 Points Against Average: 8.4
2020 Differential: +38.2
2020 Wins: #666 Torrey Pines (San Diego) (42-0), #1172 Granite Hills (El Cajon) (56-14), #1656 Oceanside (30-12), #2236 San Marcos (49-9), #2612 La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (56-7)
2020 Losses: none
2020 Opponents W-L: 12-15
Recent Section Championships: 2006, 2005
Recent League Championships: 2020 (tied for 1st), 2019, 2015 (Avocado - West), 2006, 2005
Winning Streak Entering 2021 Season: 5
Streak List: 3/19/21 Torrey Pines (San Diego) (42-0), 3/26/21 San Marcos (49-9), 4/2/21 Oceanside (30-12), 4/9/21 La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (56-7), 4/16/21 Granite Hills (El Cajon) (56-14)

SCHEDULE
2021 Schedule: 8/20 at Great Oak (Temecula), 8/27 Millikan (Long Beach), 9/3 Lawndale, 9/10 El Camino (Oceanside), 9/17 at Mission Hills (San Marcos), 10/1 Torrey Pines (San Diego), 10/8 at San Marcos, 10/15 at Oceanside, 10/22 La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad), 10/29 at Vista
Highest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Mission Hills (San Marcos) (42), El Camino (Oceanside) (30.8), Torrey Pines (San Diego) (29.6)
Lowest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Vista (-7), Great Oak (Temecula) (-3), La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (5.4)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.4
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.1
2021 vs. 2020 Schedule Strength Comparison: -11.3
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #59
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #491
2021 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2021 Projected League Finish: 1st
2021 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 78%