St. Vincent (Petaluma, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/White/Red
Coach: Trent Herzog
League: North Bay - Redwood (moving from North Bay - Group 2)
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 7
Playoff Division Rank: #5

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 9
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Dante Antonini 6'2" 205 Senior OLB/WR 4.6
Kai Hall 5'8" 180 Junior RB/DB 4.6
Nathan Rooks 6'0" 215 Junior LB/FB 4.9

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Position Players, Defense, Speed
Team Weaknesses: QB Inexperience, Passing Game, Replacing K

RATINGS
2020 Final Power Rating: -13.6
2020 National Rank: #9833
2020 State Rank: #678
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7
Season Scaling/Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -24.9
2021 Starting Power Rating: -25.3
2021 National Rank: #8435
2021 State Rank: #563
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2020 Rating): -12.4
Dynasty National Rank: #11999
2021 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 12.9
Dynasty Record: 106-83-1 (45-34-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2020 Overall Record: 2-2-1
2020 League Record/Finish: 2-0-1 (1st)
2020 Points For Average: 31.2
2020 Points Against Average: 23
2020 Differential: +8.2
2020 Wins: #9414 Ukiah (24-7), #13738 Healdsburg (58-6)
2020 Losses: West County (Sebastopol) (25-20), #6620 Justin-Siena (Napa) (42-19)
2020 Ties: #10779 El Molino (Forestville) (35-35)
2020 Opponents W-L: 6-10-1
Recent Section Championships: 2008 (V), 2005 (B)
Recent League Championships: 2020 (North Bay - Group 2), 2014 (North Central II), 2013 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2012 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2008 (tied for 1st; North Central I - South), 2005 (North Central I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2021 Season: 1
Streak List: 4/17/21 Healdsburg (58-6)

SCHEDULE
2021 Schedule: 8/28 St. Bernard's (Eureka), 9/3 at Delta (Clarksburg), 9/10 at St. Helena, 9/17 vs Sonoma Valley (Sonoma), 9/24 at Ukiah, 10/9 Piner (Santa Rosa), 10/15 at Montgomery (Santa Rosa), 10/29 vs Healdsburg, 11/6 Santa Rosa
Highest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (-9.4), St. Helena (-13.2), Ukiah (-31.6)
Lowest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Healdsburg (-77.5), Delta (Clarksburg) (-57), Piner (Santa Rosa) (-55)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -23.2
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -40.8
2021 vs. 2020 Schedule Strength Comparison: -17.6
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #904
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #12707
2021 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-2
2021 Projected League Finish: 1st
2021 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%