GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Blue/Gold
Coach: Andy Stefanelli
League: Washington Catholic - Capital
Playoff Division: none
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 10
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2020 JV Record: 1-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Antonio Avery 6'6" 230 Junior QB 4.6
Kyle Altuner 6'4" 285 Sophomore T
Elijah Moore 6'4" 180 Sophomore WR 4.5
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Landon Tengwall 6'6" 300 Senior OT
Trace Campbell 6'5" 235 Senior WR
Miles Cross 6'1" 195 Senior WR
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Dynamic Dual-Threat QB, OL, Aggressive/Attacking Defense
Team Weaknesses: Youth, Inexperience
RATINGS
2020 Final Power Rating: 57.2
2020 National Rank: #63
2020 State Rank: #3
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +9.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.1
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +5.7
Historical "Reload Factor" Bonus: +0.4
2021 Starting Power Rating: 56.3
2021 National Rank: #51
2021 State Rank: #4
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2020 Rating): 54.8
Dynasty National Rank: #57
2021 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 1.5
Dynasty Record: 156-45 (87-22 in league)
HISTORICAL
2020 Overall Record: 2-2
2020 League Record/Finish: 1-2 (4th)
2020 Points For Average: 16
2020 Points Against Average: 19.5
2020 Differential: -3.5
2020 Wins: #87 St. Frances Academy (Baltimore) (27-14), #466 St. Mary's Ryken (Leonardtown) (17-9)
2020 Losses: #10 Gonzaga (Washington, DC) (28-0), #47 St. John's (Washington, DC) (27-20)
2020 Opponents W-L: 9-7
Recent State Championships: 2019 (WCAC Capital), 2012 (WCAC), 2011 (WCAC), 2010 (WCAC), 2009 (WCAC)
Recent League Championships: 2014 (Washington Catholic), 2012 (Washington Catholic), 2011 (Washington Catholic), 2010 (tied for 1st; Washington Catholic), 2008 (Washington Catholic), 2007 (tied for 1st; Washington Catholic), 2004 (Washington Catholic)
Winning Streak Entering 2021 Season: 1
Streak List: 4/16/21 St. Frances Academy (Baltimore) (27-14)
SCHEDULE
2021 Schedule: 8/28 at St. Joseph Regional (Montvale, NJ), 9/3 Catholic (Baton Rouge, LA), 9/10 Friendship Collegiate Academy (Washington, DC), 9/17 St. Frances Academy (Baltimore), 9/25 at Mount St. Joseph (Baltimore), 10/1 at St. Mary's Ryken (Leonardtown), 10/16 at Gonzaga (Washington, DC), 10/22 Bishop McNamara (Forestville), 10/30 at St. John's (Washington, DC), 11/5 DeMatha (Hyattsville)
Highest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: St. Frances Academy (Baltimore) (76.4), Gonzaga (Washington, DC) (61.9), DeMatha (Hyattsville) (57.2)
Lowest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Friendship Collegiate Academy (Washington, DC) (1.5), Bishop McNamara (Forestville) (13.7), St. Mary's Ryken (Leonardtown) (35.3)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 59.5
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 42.7
2021 vs. 2020 Schedule Strength Comparison: -16.8
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #1
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10
2021 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2021 Projected League Finish: 4th
2021 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%