Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Joe Peake
League: 3A District 3
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #33

RATINGS
2020 Final Power Rating: -37.5
2020 National Rank: #11979
2020 State Rank: #189
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -3.2
2021 Starting Power Rating: -53.8
2021 National Rank: #12683
2021 State Rank: #186
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2020 Rating): -24.3
Dynasty National Rank: #13680
2021 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 29.5
Dynasty Record: 19-62 (7-31 in league)

HISTORICAL
2020 Overall Record: 1-7
2020 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th)
2020 Points For Average: 13
2020 Points Against Average: 41.3
2020 Differential: -28.3
2020 Wins: #13374 Nelson County (Bardstown) (28-27)
2020 Losses: #1833 Elizabethtown (63-7), #1833 Elizabethtown (40-0), #4024 Bardstown (47-0), #8453 Larue County (Hodgenville) (50-20), #8827 Grayson County (Leitchfield) (26-6), #11270 Washington County (Springfield) (29-13), #13088 Green County (Greensburg) (48-30)
2020 Opponents W-L: 43-28
Winning Streak Entering 2021 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2021 Schedule: 8/20 at Marion County (Lebanon), 8/27 Washington County (Springfield), 9/3 vs Bethlehem (Bardstown), 9/10 at Atherton (Louisville), 9/17 at Kentucky Country Day (Louisville), 9/24 vs Elizabethtown, 10/1 at Larue County (Hodgenville), 10/15 at Bardstown, 10/22 Nelson County (Bardstown), 10/29 Warren Central (Bowling Green)
Highest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Bardstown (-0.2), Elizabethtown (-3.5), Kentucky Country Day (Louisville) (-13.3)
Lowest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Marion County (Lebanon) (-59.7), Warren Central (Bowling Green) (-56.9), Atherton (Louisville) (-54.7)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -11.1 (-5.3 overall)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -32.8
2021 vs. 2020 Schedule Strength Comparison: -21.7
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #148
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11364
2021 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8
2021 Projected League Finish: 4th
2021 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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