Melville [Ward] (East Setauket, NY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Patriots
Colors: Green/Gold
Coach: Chris Boltrek
League: Section 11 Division I
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #11

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2020 JV Record: 4-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Kevin Dolan 6'4" 220 Senior T/DE
Zach Licavoli 6'1" 230 Senior G/DE
Nick Gaffney 5'11" 190 Junior OLB/RB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience, DL, RB
Team Weaknesses: Inconsistent QB Play, Small Senior Class

RATINGS
2020 Final Power Rating: -11.9
2020 National Rank: #8387
2020 State Rank: #228
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
2021 Starting Power Rating: -25.7
2021 National Rank: #8508
2021 State Rank: #246
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2020 Rating): 7.2
Dynasty National Rank: #6675
2021 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 32.9
Dynasty Record: 72-82 (67-76 in league)

HISTORICAL
2020 Overall Record: 2-4
2020 League Record/Finish: 2-4 (tied for 8th)
2020 Points For Average: 19.3
2020 Points Against Average: 22
2020 Differential: -2.7
2020 Wins: #9440 Bay Shore (29-20), #12624 Brentwood (40-19)
2020 Losses: #4749 Whitman [Walt] (Huntington Station) (28-25), #5083 Lindenhurst (21-7), #5589 Sachem North (Lake Ronkonkoma) (24-8), #7012 Commack (20-7)
2020 Opponents W-L: 20-15
Winning Streak Entering 2021 Season: 1
Streak List: 4/23/21 Brentwood (40-19)

SCHEDULE
2021 Schedule: 9/10 Commack, 9/18 at Riverhead, 9/24 Sachem North (Lake Ronkonkoma), 10/2 Central Islip, 10/9 at Brentwood, 10/16 at Whitman [Walt] (Huntington Station), 10/22 Bay Shore, 10/30 at Floyd [William] (Mastic Beach)
Highest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Whitman [Walt] (Huntington Station) (-10.4), Floyd [William] (Mastic Beach) (-14.5), Sachem North (Lake Ronkonkoma) (-18)
Lowest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Central Islip (-64.3), Brentwood (-50.2), Bay Shore (-38.8)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -7.2
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -31.8
2021 vs. 2020 Schedule Strength Comparison: -24.6
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #395
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11133
2021 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3
2021 Projected League Finish: 7th
2021 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%