Colonial Forge (Stafford, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Eagles
Colors: Green/Navy/Silver
Coach: John Brown
League: Commonwealth
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #10

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2020 JV Record: 5-0-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Hiro Carr 6'2" 180 Junior FS/QB 4.5
Vincent Byrd 6'3" 295 Senior OL/DL 5.1
Nolan McConnell 6'7" 305 Junior OL/DL 5.1

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Improved Run Defense/Running Game
Team Weaknesses: Must Improve Passing Game

RATINGS
2020 Final Power Rating: 27.3
2020 National Rank: #1449
2020 State Rank: #41
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +2.6
2021 Starting Power Rating: 17.8
2021 National Rank: #1221
2021 State Rank: #32
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2020 Rating): 31.5
Dynasty National Rank: #1155
2021 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 13.7
Dynasty Record: 151-55 (87-22 in league)

HISTORICAL
2020 Overall Record: 4-2
2020 League Record/Finish: 4-2 (tied for 2nd)
2020 Points For Average: 25.7
2020 Points Against Average: 18.8
2020 Differential: +6.9
2020 Wins: #1929 Mountain View (Stafford) (20-7), #4405 Brooke Point (Stafford) (42-14), #4492 North Stafford (Stafford) (35-7), #7225 Stafford (Falmouth) (36-6)
2020 Losses: #93 Massaponax (Spotsylvania) (51-14), #1435 Riverbend (Fredericksburg) (28-7)
2020 Opponents W-L: 20-22
Recent League Championships: 2019, 2018, 2017, 2015 (6A Conference 4), 2012 (tied for 1st; AAA Commonwealth), 2010 (AAA Commonwealth), 2009 (AAA Commonwealth), 2006 (Commonwealth AAA)
Winning Streak Entering 2021 Season: 1
Streak List: 4/1/21 Stafford (Falmouth) (36-6)

SCHEDULE
2021 Schedule: 9/2 Unity Reed (Manassas), 9/10 West Potomac (Alexandria), 9/17 at Stone Bridge (Ashburn), 9/24 Stafford (Falmouth), 10/1 at Highland Springs, 10/8 North Stafford (Stafford), 10/15 at Mountain View (Stafford), 10/22 Riverbend (Fredericksburg), 10/29 at Brooke Point (Stafford), 11/5 at Massaponax (Spotsylvania)
Highest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Massaponax (Spotsylvania) (37.3), Highland Springs (30.4), Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (27.1)
Lowest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: West Potomac (Alexandria) (-21), Stafford (Falmouth) (-13.1), Unity Reed (Manassas) (-1.5)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.4
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.7
2021 vs. 2020 Schedule Strength Comparison: -10.7
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #9
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #958
2021 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2021 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2021 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%