Churchill (Eugene, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Blue/Red
Coach: A.J. Robinson
League: 5A Special District 4
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #12

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2020 JV Record: 3-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Austin Mills 6'1" 205 Senior RB/LB
Danny Womack 5'8" 150 Senior WR/DB
Brycen Thomas 6'1" 265 Senior OL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Dedication, Improved Commitment, OL Experience
Team Weaknesses: Depth, Offensive Production

RATINGS
2020 Final Power Rating: -9.8
2020 National Rank: #7972
2020 State Rank: #80
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +8.5
2021 Starting Power Rating: -15.4
2021 National Rank: #6357
2021 State Rank: #57
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2020 Rating): 7.5
Dynasty National Rank: #6594
2021 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 22.9
Dynasty Record: 98-78 (59-47 in league)

HISTORICAL
2020 Overall Record: 2-3
2020 League Record/Finish: 1-2 (tied for 4th)
2020 Points For Average: 15.6
2020 Points Against Average: 20.2
2020 Differential: -4.6
2020 Wins: #9513 North Eugene (Eugene) (18-12), #12742 Springfield (40-6)
2020 Losses: #2160 Thurston (Springfield) (35-6), #5323 Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene) (27-7), #6692 Willamette (Eugene) (21-7)
2020 Opponents W-L: 14-13
Recent League Championships: 2018 (5A Special District 2 South), 2017 (5A Midwestern), 2006 (5A Midwestern)
Winning Streak Entering 2021 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2021 Schedule: 9/3 Eagle Point, 9/10 Marshfield (Coos Bay), 9/17 at Crater (Central Point), 9/24 at Ashland, 10/1 North Bend, 10/8 Thurston (Springfield), 10/15 at Sprague (Salem), 10/22 Springfield, 10/29 at Willamette (Eugene)
Highest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Thurston (Springfield) (12.3), Marshfield (Coos Bay) (11.8), Sprague (Salem) (0.2)
Lowest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Springfield (-48.9), Eagle Point (-23.3), Willamette (Eugene) (-18)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.3
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -10.4
2021 vs. 2020 Schedule Strength Comparison: -4.1
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #29
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4680
2021 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-6
2021 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2021 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%