GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Navy/Orange
Coach: Christian Brown
League: Potomac
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #5
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Christian Greene 6'2" 170 Senior WR
RATINGS
2020 Final Power Rating: 33.5
2020 National Rank: #916
2020 State Rank: #20
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.8
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +4.3
2021 Starting Power Rating: 20.9
2021 National Rank: #977
2021 State Rank: #25
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2020 Rating): 24.8
Dynasty National Rank: #2130
2021 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3.9
Dynasty Record: 111-65 (55-29 in league)
HISTORICAL
2020 Overall Record: 5-2
2020 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2020 Points For Average: 29.9
2020 Points Against Average: 20.1
2020 Differential: +9.8
2020 Wins: #2521 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (49-14), #2521 Woodgrove (Purcellville) (26-8), #3212 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (9-7), #5389 Riverside (Ashburn) (40-0), #7258 Freedom (South Riding) (49-7)
2020 Losses: #69 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (56-29), #69 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (49-7)
2020 Opponents W-L: 27-18
Recent State Championships: 2012 (4), 2011 (4), 2010 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2013 (5A Conference 14), 2012 (AA Dulles), 2011 (AA Dulles), 2010 (AA Dulles)
Winning Streak Entering 2021 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2021 Schedule: 8/27 Broad Run (Ashburn), 9/2 at Champe [John] (Aldie), 9/10 at Hylton [C. D.] (Woodbridge), 9/17 Forest Park (Woodbridge), 9/24 at Tuscarora (Leesburg), 10/1 at Woodgrove (Purcellville), 10/8 at Stone Bridge (Ashburn), 10/15 Independence (Ashburn), 10/22 Potomac Falls (Sterling), 10/29 Riverside (Ashburn)
Highest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Tuscarora (Leesburg) (33.7), Broad Run (Ashburn) (31.2), Champe [John] (Aldie) (27.3)
Lowest-Rated 2021 Regular Season Opponents: Hylton [C. D.] (Woodbridge) (-13.3), Riverside (Ashburn) (-13), Forest Park (Woodbridge) (-12.5)
2020 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18 (27.3 overall)
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.3
2021 vs. 2020 Schedule Strength Comparison: -8.7
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #5
2021 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #898
2021 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2021 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2021 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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